ernesto has a long and unlikely road to a cat 1 hurricane before florida...its barely a tropical storm at this point with no real consistent center of circulation. i would say a decrease to a tropical wave is every bit as likely as an increase to hurricane strength before a south florida hit/brush. that said...the carolinas seem more threatened with the potential of a significant storm should ernesto hold together and get offshore and head that way.
I just heard thunder in Atlanta, should I evacuate now or wait for lightning strikes?