Interesting analysis, but the proof will have to wait until November. Until then, expect MSM polls to tell us that Lamont leads by 60% to 40% or even more (of all KOS members polled!)
So everybody is writing off the Pub?
Should Lieberman bring in fellow tribe member Dickie "Toe Sucker" Morris to help triangulate???
(Go Israel, Go! Slap 'Em Down Hezbullies.)
I think if Joe Lieberman runs as an independent, rather than as a so-called "independent Democrat," he will win.
For example, if he appears with a mix of Republicans and Democrats at rallies ... e.g., Ed Koch + Rudy Guiliani ... and talks about the need for a strong centrist position on the War on Terror, and not just be another party hack on judicial nominees, and somebody who can work with the Republicans to fashion legislation that can break Democratic fillibusters in the Senate.
Now, with regard to which party he will caucus with if he is elected, he should say he will be an independent, and will consider what each party offers to him in order to join their caucus. In other words, if the Republicans offer to allow him to bring his seniority with him, he might join with the Republicans, as an independent.
If he caucuses with the Republicans, he'd definitely be a "RINO"-type, but would better than Chaffee from Rhode Island, and might be just about as good as Snowe from Maine.
Furthermore, since he will have burned his bridges with the Democratic Party, he will be free to be Joe again, and not the thing he became when he ran for Vice President.