1. Syria cannot stand without Iran.
2. Hezbollah cannot stand without Syria.
3. Topple the central domino and all the rest go by themselves.
4. Ignore the central pillar, and toppling all the subordinate dominoes has no effect.
5. Help is on the way, at about 33 miles per hour, published. ***
1. TRUE
2. Probably True but they are really creatures of Iran.
3. Not so sure but I agree that Iran has no easy way to fight a ground war in Lebanon. In fact they have no way to do so and so you are right, they need surrogates.
4. Disagree. If Syria sits tight and Iran sits tight and Israel destroys the Hezbollah militia and their arms and chases them back to Syria and helps Lebanon take and keep control of the South then Israel will declare victory. Of course that is a lot of ANDs.
5. I give up. What is moving at 33 MPH?
Iran has stated, within the last 6 hours, that they will not permit Hezbollah to be disarmed. Hoping they sit tight is recipe for disaster. Nullify their limited options to interfere instead of hoping for the best.
Can't go any further on no. 5, sorry, hope you understand.
Look at it this way.
Come Tuesday and the Port of Haifa is still inop, Israel piddling along with the occasional airstrike, ducking into shelters every five minutes, you can rag on me all you want.
I'll help you.
Come Tuesday and Haifa's up and running, well south of rocket range, and will you really care why it happened later than sooner?