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To: Publius6961
In order to "predict" anything, the penomena and all their nuances must be fully understood.

Just think for a second; of course that's not true. I've been watching ESPN Sportscenter just about everyday, and they're doing this thing called "The Ultimate NFL Depth Chart", and they're "predicting" who'll make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl. One major injury, and I'd throw that whole framework onto the trash heap. (Even without a major injury, football is unpredictable enough that there's no way it will play out as they "predicted". That doesn't stop them from making predictions, does it?)

What you may be trying to say is that the only way that a prediction will have 100% certainty, all of the influences must be understood perfectly. There's a name for that: Omniscient God. The rest of us are operating on incomplete knowledge, but that doesn't mean we can't make informed predictions.

19 posted on 07/06/2006 8:29:00 AM PDT by cogitator
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To: cogitator

Codge, the author of this piece accepts that we are currently "helpless" to reverse this, what is your proposal beyond sequestration?


39 posted on 07/06/2006 9:03:45 AM PDT by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: cogitator

The ESPN model is completly wrong, everyone knows the Redskins will win the Superbowl this year. ESPN thinks it will be either Carolina or New England. As for global warming, I'm all for it. Who likes to be cold???


56 posted on 07/06/2006 9:36:19 AM PDT by tigtog
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