[conservative in nyc]

97.72% reporting. Calderon has a .98% lead. Projections are for that lead to grow, though, as PAN country in Northwestern Mexico is the most out. The PRD socialists would have to pick up about 376,000 votes out of an expected 832,000 (i.e. get about 45% points of the vote higher than the PAN in the remaining precincts). I don't think that's possible absent fraud. The expected vote totals continue to shrink, suggesting the recent votes are coming in from smaller precincts or precincts with lower turnout.

	Actual	Actual %		Projected (by State)	Projected %
Calderon (PAN)	13,950,885	36.37%		14,286,681	36.46%
Dinosaur (PRI)	8,263,252	21.54%		8,452,952	21.57%
Socialist (PRD)	13,575,091	35.39%		13,826,355	35.28%
New Alliance	382,853	1.00%		392,156	1.00%
Alternative	1,082,390	2.82%		1,105,422	2.82%
Write-in	280,486	0.73%		286,329	0.73%
Null Votes	822,703	2.14%		839,821	2.14%
Total	38,357,660			39,189,716
Precincts Reporting	127,811
Total Precincts	130,788
PR%	97.72%

[Reaganez]

Particulary in southern Mexico, it is the extemely remote precints that have not reported.

Some precints(Casillas) you need horses or canoes to get to them.

I am not kidding. Although these are small precints without many votes.

Looks good though.

The current Members of the Federal Election Institute were appointed by Fox and confirmed by the Mexican Senate. 30% of the seats go to each major party and 10% go to "non-partisan" candidates. It is a reasonably trustworthy institution. At least some of the members would scream bloody murder if there were any obvious fraud.