Jacob will lose by at least 10 points, and he could have won. It isn't a matter of not being "slick with the press." It's a matter of outrageously bad judgment, and some really weird beliefs about Satan involving himself in a House race. Doesn't happen.
Currently if 44/41 -- in otherwords, a horse race.
According to the polls out today the race is tightening. Granted Cannon probably has the lead but I wish someone knew how the debate between them went today, that might make all the difference tomorrow.
Yep it would never happen in California - but this is Utah where politics and religion always mix. Don't count him out by your left coast political standards. What he said will ring true to his constituents. He'll come across as a genuine man with real problems and real tests by the adversary.