I'm slow today. How do your numbers differ from my post?
Because you are stating that we aren't going to need to build any refineries for a long time. I disagree. Running at 95% capacity is not sustainable unless nothing ever goes wrong and you never have to shut one down for maintenence. We are a first world country, and yet we are not even close to energy independence. On top of that, we are running close to 100% capacity at any time. That's not sound energy policy.