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To: GretchenM; All

OMG Condi Rice mom look like Catwoman Eartha Kitt I got question why American people giving Dubya low marks WHY IS THAT TELL MEEE


84 posted on 04/12/2006 6:45:47 PM PDT by SevenofNine (I'd rather hunt with Dick Cheney than ride with Ted Kennedy)
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To: SevenofNine

I posted the following analysis last night; hope it answers your question about the current crop of bogus polls!


IT'S THE SAMPLE STUPID!

ABCNews/WashingtonPost
53% Democrat/Democrat-leaning Independents
42% Republican/Republican-leaning Independents
+11 Democrat . . . 'nuf said
[FYI: Even though this is one of the most skewed WP polls I've ever analyzed, they still only managed to reduce the President's JA rating by 1 point: from 38% to 37% . . . Of course, if an HONEST pollster were to re-weight the data, the President's JA rating would be in the mid-40s!]

AP/Ipsos-Reid, CBSNews/NYTimes and Gallup/USAToday also deliberately skew their samples to keep the President's JA rating below 40% . . . Bottomline: The MSM can skew the opinion polls for their preferred party/candidate but they can't win the only poll that counts -- the poll on election day!

IF YOU WANT TO VIEW THE RESULTS OF A MORE LEGITIMATE POLLSTER (who still oversamples Democrats, just not as absurdly as the MSM pollsters), visit the RASMUSSEN website:

Today, he puts the President's JA rating at
43% approve 55% disapprove
[During the last 1 1/2 'controversial' weeks, the President's JA rating has remained steady at 42%-45%, i.e., there has been no decline in the President's ratings despite the 'immigration' hysteria and rising gas prices!]
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Bush_Job_Approval.htm



BTW: A President's job approval rating IS NOT a popularity rating.

A President's JA rating reflects the public's perception of the economy; a President's PERSONAL APPROVAL rating reflects the public's view of the man!

FYI: During Reagan and GHWB's era, Gallup, et al, always coupled their JA rating with a personal approval rating . . . Both Reagan and GHWB often scored very low on the former, but almost always scored quite high on the latter.

Conversely, Clinton only scored well with his JA rating (and only in his second term when the public thought the economy was doing well); however, he could never get his personal approval ratings above 40%. For this reason, the MSM pollsters dropped the personal approval rating and started promoting the JA rating as a 'popularity' rating -- anything to make Clinton look better!

Currently, The Battleground Poll is the only pollster still producing a personal approval rating for the President. According to Battleground, the President's PERSONAL APPROVAL RATING has never dipped below 60%!!!!

Bottomline: President George W Bush remains PERSONALLY POPULAR and he will continue to lead despite the MSM's unrelenting attempts to uncut his presidency with bogus opinion polls


88 posted on 04/12/2006 6:55:41 PM PDT by DrDeb ("I stand with the GREAT MAN here!")
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To: SevenofNine

My personal theory is this:
If I was asked to rate Bush right now, I would give him a low ranking, because of immigration issues. But I would still vote for him again. I'm pretty sure there are a lot of angy Republicans out there who feel much the same. Mad, but he would be the best choice.

I could be wrong....but if that's true, that would explain the low poll numbers, for a variety of issues.


90 posted on 04/12/2006 6:58:06 PM PDT by SnarlinCubBear (My dawgs love Kitty Mittens)
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To: SevenofNine

Seven, I was trying to figure out who Condi's mom reminded me of...I think you're right.


102 posted on 04/12/2006 7:25:25 PM PDT by altura (Bushbot No. 1 - get in line.)
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To: SevenofNine

WHY IS THAT TELL MEEE



&&&&&

I read a very interesting commentary today - but can't remember where - probably something that Dr Deb posted right on this thread - that JA (Job Approval) ratings are really about the economy and state of the country, not the PA (personal approval) rating.

Apparently when Clinton's PA was down around 25% for such a long time, the drive-by media backed away from using the Personal Approval (popularity) information. They do not even ask the poll question on likeability of Bush, but instead imply that the Job Approval, (which is a question like "how do you feel about the economy")is a measure of his popularity with the American people.


126 posted on 04/12/2006 10:34:25 PM PDT by maica (You are being lied to. By elements in the media determined that Iraq must fail. - Ralph Peters)
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