Once again, history will go unheaded as the new Greater Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere is created.
And how long do yo think it will be before the Chinese navy does become a force to recon with 10, 15, 20 years?
It will be a reality at some point unless democracy takes hold in China.
And remember ... every dime or quarter you spend in Walmart or where ever on a Chinese product will be a bullet coming back in your son's or grandson's belly, unless we use our economic power to turn China towards freedom.
My guess is that if they took an extremely aggressive military development/procurement program, both navy and air forces, they could possibly be a threat in 50 years. As it stands they are trying mightily to be able to invade Taiwan and have not even met that threshold to date. The threat of an outwardly aggressive China should be balanced by the equally likely possibility of an internal civil war between the wealthy coasts and poor hinterlands. Economic development brings with it a lot of unexpected surprises for dictators.
We will see a war on a scale incomparable to any other conflict in the worlds history, and it scares the hell out of me.
Jeff Head's 'Dragon Fury' series gives us a brief glimpse of what it'll be like, but I fear it'll be far worse than anything imaginable.