Replies

We currently have 12 Carrier Task Forces. They currently have none. They currently have no blue water submarine escorts for a carrier. How in the hell do you figure in 15 years they overcome those technological and numerical inferiorities? I believe the special missile guidance technology that Klinton sold to the Chinese will help them out with this problem ... one multi-killoton warhead on a cruise missile will take care of a carrier fleet quite nicely ... unfortunately. I believe the Chinese would not hesitate to use nukes in a Taiwan conflict ... the US on the other hand would no doubt hesitate to use them in retaliation. But lets look at another scenario, the Chinese are becoming very friendly with Mexico. They will extend a hand to Mexico to help build ports for their products in exchange for Mexican oil. They already own the companies controlling the Panama canal locks. With Mexicans "invading" the US from the south now, why would it be too far teched to think that in 30 or 40 years a 120 to 150 divisions of Chi-Coms wouldn't make a move across the southern US boarder. We'll be so busy destroying ourselves to even notice at that time. Just a thought ... :^)

If China wants to demonstrate power abroad it needs a navy to do it. Without a navy that can at least checkmate ours (4-5 carrier task forces) they cannot project power. I do not see anyway they can pull off a navy of significant proportions and technological savy to threaten us in the near future. Also consider that the Japanese have a sizable compentent navy in the vicinity which would combine with ours. Ditto Taiwan and South Korea. We would probably see further reinforcement from Australia/NZ. China is using its military build up to offset its political weakness at home. It makes everyone feel proud and secure when the truth is they are neither. China's real threat comes from within as a portion of their population becomes wealthy and a majority of it does not. China has been down this road before and it ended in civil war. With a historical and philosophical underpinning of socialism how can the have's argue successfully with the have-nots?