Posted on 03/10/2006 7:27:19 AM PST by My Favorite Headache
One big head game.
Typical Drive-By-Media spew.
Another phoney poll! Good grief!
If he made all his decisions based on polling numbers, I'm sure he would be very concerned right now!
I wonder if they realise that he's not running for office?
Tradesports.com still has the GOP maintaining control of the House - easily.
This is such BS.
This is such BS.
Sigh ... "what policies we need to win."
Statesmen are few and far between these days ... politicians are everywhere.
From Anklebitingpundits.com:
"Here We Go Again - Another BS Poll From AP-Ipsos
Posted by bulldogpundit on Friday, 10 March 2006 (10:26:20) EST
Contributed by bulldogpundit
No, this is not a recording. The President's poll numbers are again at a historic low - this time the result is from the notoriously partisan AP Ipsos poll. The poll shows the following:
Quote:
Wrong Track - 67%/Right Track - 30%
Bush Approval Rating - 60% Disapprove/37% Approve
Who Do You Want To Control Congress - 47% - Democrats/36%- Republicans
Sounds bad, huh? Well, as we've said before you (and the GOP leaders) shouldn't use these polls as any kind of indicator as to what could happen in 2006, which is certainly how the MSM will spin it.
But here's what you won't see in the news stories. - the demography of the poll respondents
First, only 79% of respondents were even eligible to vote, and there's no indication of how many of them actually went to the polls in 2004, and the turnout among registered voters who turned out in 2004 was only about 65-70%. So it's very possible that a whopping 45% of the respondents to this poll didn't even vote in the 2004 Presidential election, which means it's highly unlikely they'll turn out for a mid-term election.
1. Party Leanings - The poll is slanted 35-29% towards Democrats, even though the voters in the 2004 election were split evenly at 37% between Republicans and Democrats.
When you throw in "leaners", the poll goes to 51% Democrat and 39% Republican.
But the most puzzling number are the 14% who say they are not a Republican, Democrat or Independent. I think they fall into the category of "apathetic", which means they likely don't vote.
2. Religion - Next, a whopping 19% of respondents had "no" religion, while in 2004 only 10% of voters had "no" religion, and they voted overwhelmingly for Kerry (+36%).
Further in the AP-Ipsos poll the numbers for Protestants and Catholics respectively were 48% and 21%.
In 2004, the electorate was made up of 54% Protestants who voted +19% for Bush. Catholics made up 27% of the electorate and voted +5% for Bush
3. Age of Respondents In this poll 30% of the respondents were between 18-34, even though the 18-29 year olds (a slightly smaller demo) only made up 17% of the electorate in the 2004 election. I think it's pretty safe to say that by including 30-34 year olds that number would still not have come close to the IPSOS sample.
4. Income Level of Respondents - In this poll 15% of respondents made under $15,000 per year. In 2004, only 8% of voters were in this income bracket, and voted 63-36% for Kerry.
5. Marital Status - In this poll, only 56% of respondents are married. In 2004, 63% of voters were married, and voted 57-42% for Bush.
6. Race - In this poll, there were 69% white respondents and 13% Hispanic respondents. In 2004, 77% of voters were white, and only 8% Hispanic. Bush won the white vote 58-41% and Kerry the Hispanic vote 53-44%.
Again, our point is not to say that the President's numbers are rosy, or that there's not angst out there. And we're not saying the GOP is going to have an easy time in 2006, but when you read slanted polls like this you really wonder if the purpose of conducting it was to get good results, to push an agenda, or to give the MSM it's talking points.
Wait and see how often this poll is cited by the MSM as it relates to the 2006 elections, even though the respondents bear no relationship to the people who will actually turn out to vote, especially in mid term elections.
So we say to nervous nellie GOP politicians, don't think this poll means you have to start acting like a Democrat."
http://www.anklebitingpundits.com/index.php?name=News&file=article&sid=3264
I'd like to see them ask the question:
'Will you vote for George W. Bush in the next election?'
They'd get a really low number, of course, because his supporters will honestly answer 'No' as well as his detractors.
They'll have to tout this number, because they couldn't help themselves...
And then we all get to point and laugh.
Yes, it is Bush's bush league public relations team. Good lord are they bad. Now this poll is oversampling democrats again, but the point is that Bush is still low.
This is why there is rarely a lot of turnover in the House.
He is foolish to not be worried. If this dynamic leads to a democrat house, they will spend 2007 impeaching him. He doesn't need that kind of protracted distraction, especially while fighting a war.
See this thread
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1593839/posts
Flashback May 2004: Worst Poll Numbers Ever For Bush (Predicted 1994 Style Election Loss for GOP)
The problem with Bush is, that since we all know whatever he does, it will PO his enemies, he does not push major changes to move the political ball rightward. For the life of me, the only reason the left hates him, is because he is a Republican. If he changed parties they would love him.
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