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To: mystery-ak

Is that true?....then why don't they use those numbers?....and do/did you work for a polling company?....

Yes, in 2004 the voting percentages were 37% Dem, 37% GOP. The latest numbers I've seen show a 35% Dem to 33% GOP voting population.

Yes, I use to work in polling first for the Wirthlin Group. Dick Wirthlin was Ronald Reagan's pollster. Then I worked for Yankelovich Partners which before it was taken over by Harris Interactive did CNN/Time's poll. After that I worked for a Republican polling firm, Public Opinion Strategies headquartered in D.C.

I saw how the sausage is made with media polls when I worked for Yankelovich. The partner in charge of the office I worked out of was a hard core Democrat. Media polls are quick and dirty. The client wants them in the field and the results back as quickly and cheaply as possible. Weighting data takes extra time and can add as much as $1000 to the cost of a project. I often pointed out to the partner in charge of the Time poll that are party I.D. numbers were off and we needed to weight the data. He would just laugh and tell me "You're not doing campaign polling anymore son. This is media polling. It doesn't have to be right it just has to be quick."

That should answer it as to why they don't use weighting on these media polls. They really are a joke. Campaign polls will always be the most accurate political polls.


27 posted on 03/02/2006 3:19:47 PM PST by MikeA (Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi, the mainstream media: The As*es of Evil)
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To: MikeA; DrDeb

Thank you very much for the info, I really appreciate it..


51 posted on 03/02/2006 3:29:08 PM PST by mystery-ak (Army Wife and Army Mother.....toughest job in the military)
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To: MikeA
BTTT
228 posted on 03/02/2006 5:57:15 PM PST by nopardons
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To: MikeA; Dave S; cripplecreek
The number of people who are registered with a particular party and the number that self-identify with that party-and vote for that party-are not necessarily synonymous.

The reason that Republicans win presidential and national elections is because the Democratic Party post-Humphrey has been hijacked by radical ideologues, whose values are inimical to those of the vast majority of the American public.

When the Democratic Party is led by individuals who aren't radicals-or who at least don't appear that way to the public-e.g. Truman, JFK, Clinton, in congressional races, Tip O'Neill, Carl Albert, etc., they win almost without exception.

Okay, technically JFK and the Democrats stole the 1960 election, but you get the picture.

My point is that simply because there might be a conservative majority in this country, does not by any stretch of the imagination imply that there is a Republican majority.

325 posted on 03/02/2006 7:12:45 PM PST by Do not dub me shapka broham ("The moment that someone wants to forbid caricatures, that is the moment we publish them.")
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