no offense to the poster here, but if you look at the last month of numbers, this particular poll is either an anomaly or the beginning of a trend, but in either case, no conclusion can be drawn from it as of yet.
I would have to disagree with you. He is trending upwards. Last month he was polling 38-42 range. These are the polls that came out this week. And this is not counting Rasmussesn's tracking poll that has had him @ 45-48% for most of january
ABC/Washington Post - 47%
Hotline poll -46%
Cook RT STrategies -47%
Fox - 41%
Gallup - 43%