While I may agree with you on this theory, it is just that. Only a theory.
Until we can perform actual experiments on the surface of Mars, it will be impossible to know the difference between computer models and reality.
The current "Global Warming" crap has taught me to experiment with the actual physical environment and learn about factual reality. Sadly, today's computer models have become as abstract as Aristotle's thought experiments.
What computer model? Am I a computer?