Polls like this do not help Allen, if he can't win his home state he is toast.
VA will be the new Ohio/ will be the New Florida.
If it's Warner vs. Allen, Ohio is already lost in our column, and the keys to the WH could lie there. The kind of Democrat who could even make Virginia an actual battleground is really bad news for us. Let's hope Hillary makes sure he gets on one of her customized planes.
It's time to face the facts. Virginia is becoming a solidly blue state due to the toxic waste spillover from DC.
After 2004, I'm starting to believe that Virginia always polls deceptively high for the Democrat, just as New Jersey always polls deceptively high for the Republican. Remember how Kerry thought he was going to win the state, and ended up doing almost as badly there as the rest of the South?
I am not nearly as skeptical about polls as most people here so this is a rare complaint from me.
Allen is signing on to too many RINO positions. He needs to get out and defense the Bush administration. He needs to get mean...if he can.
The liberal contortions that Mark Warner will have to do to get the DemocRAT nomination in '08 will make him un-electable in Virginia. He's popular because Virginia voters don't realize how much of a leftist he is. I'll give anyone odds that Allen will beat Warner in Virginia if they are both nominated.
all these theories presume that the public has a long memory ... haven't noticed that myself.
By '08, Warner will be a distant memory to most voters in VA unless he got the Dem bid, which is a longshot (tho, he really is likely angling for #2 and we all know how having a 'moderate' Southerner helped Kerry).
This also presumes that Kaine manages to keep the VA economy fairly healthy (which, with Republican legislative support in raising taxes, he might do).