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The World: On Climate Change, a Change of Thinking
NY Times ^ | December 4, 2005 | ANDREW C. REVKIN

Posted on 12/04/2005 5:24:52 AM PST by Pharmboy


Christinne Muschi/Reuters
Mother Earth In Montreal, the site of an international meeting on global warming, a wall of paintings
proclaims support of the Kyoto Protocol, which set limits on the release of greenhouse gases.

IN December 1997, representatives of most of the world's nations met in Kyoto, Japan, to negotiate a binding agreement to cut emissions of "greenhouse" gases.

They succeeded. The Kyoto Protocol was ultimately ratified by 156 countries. It was the first agreement of its kind. But it may also prove to be the last.

Today, in the middle of new global warming talks in Montreal, there is a sense that the whole idea of global agreements to cut greenhouse gases won't work.

A major reason the optimism over Kyoto has eroded so rapidly is that its major requirement - that 38 participating industrialized countries cut their greenhouse emissions below 1990 levels by the year 2012 - was seen as just a first step toward increasingly aggressive cuts.

But in the years after the protocol was announced, developing countries, including the fast-growing giants China and India, have held firm on their insistence that they would accept no emissions cuts, even though they are likely to be the world's dominant source of greenhouse gases in coming years.

Their refusal helped fuel strong opposition to the treaty in the United States Senate and its eventual rejection by President Bush.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Canada; Culture/Society; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; globalwarming; india; kyoto
Hmmm...we're not the worst anymore. How in tarnation can that be? OK--I'll wait for all those greenie demonstrations against India and China.
1 posted on 12/04/2005 5:24:52 AM PST by Pharmboy
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To: Pharmboy

India and China will not join Kyoto. Which makes it dead. Without India and China, there is no Kyoto. Even if it was based on real science, without India and China, Kyoto is dead.

But Kyoto is no longer backed up by science. The evidence is that even if India and China joined, it wouldn't be enough. Not nearly enough. The gasses are already released and the warming is already in progress and the effects of that warming include increased water vapor in the atmosphere, which is also a warming gas.

So go ahead, shut down all industry all over the planet and you know what you'll have? Mass starvation and global warming.

The only way to reverse warming (assuming it's something you actually want to do, given the fact we might be heading into a mini-ice-age cycle without it) is to come up with some technological fixes. Carbon sequestration.

Socialist schemes to shut down production will do nothing. Kyoto is stupid. It's a religion, not a science.


2 posted on 12/04/2005 5:29:16 AM PST by samtheman
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To: Pharmboy
My guess is they know about MODIS. It's just a matter of time before those overhead shots of pollution in China and India enter the public discourse.
3 posted on 12/04/2005 5:29:23 AM PST by Tarpon
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To: Pharmboy

4 posted on 12/04/2005 5:40:36 AM PST by Dallas59 (“You love life, while we love death"( Al-Qaeda & Democratic Party)
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To: samtheman
Yep. Kyoto was based on the arrogant conceit humans can affect the weather. We don't understand it all that well even today. And this notion we could cut emissions back to the 1990 levels is impossible without destroying our economy. India and China will not accept any limits on their economic growth and neither will we. I think it will sort itself out without bureaucratic intervention. Nature is resilient and tends to be self-correcting.

(Denny Crane: "I Don't Want To Socialize With A Pinko Liberal Democrat Commie.Say What You Like About Republicans. We Stick To Our Convictions. Even When We Know We're Dead Wrong.")

5 posted on 12/04/2005 5:43:52 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: Dallas59

Wow--you're good--and fast! Excellent...


6 posted on 12/04/2005 5:44:24 AM PST by Pharmboy (The stone age didn't end because they ran out of stones.)
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To: Pharmboy

Climate change on the earth has been going on since it was formed and man had nothing to do with it.


7 posted on 12/04/2005 5:45:29 AM PST by Piquaboy (22 year veteran of the Army, Air Force and Navy, Pray for all our military .)
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To: Pharmboy

The enviro nazi movement was only useful as a home for international Communist goals, since the Soviets couldn't keep up with us. They had to translate their agenda into something with universal leverage, and the weather was a good choice at the time, since it respects no borders.

That tactic seems to be outliving it's usefulness as China gains strength.


8 posted on 12/04/2005 5:48:39 AM PST by ovrtaxt (The FAIRTAX. A powerplay for We The People.)
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To: Pharmboy
Photoshop Elements..$69 at Frys


9 posted on 12/04/2005 5:50:55 AM PST by Dallas59 (“You love life, while we love death"( Al-Qaeda & Democratic Party)
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To: Pharmboy

Kyoto is all about attacking the US. In practical terms the US has made more progress than Europe in controlling 'greehhouse' gases.


10 posted on 12/04/2005 6:02:01 AM PST by Semper Paratus
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To: goldstategop
Nature is resilient and tends to be self-correcting.
Yes. But.

Nature doesn't have a "preferred state" for either global temperature or sea levels. It can get along fine with oceans washing over the Great Plains, as in previous eras.

It very well might turn out that we have to do some tweaking. But the only tweaking that will actually work will be in the form of active technological intervention, not a socialist shutdown of business, industry and commerce.

As President Bush says, we have to grow the economy to make it strong enough to handle the technological challenges of the future.

Global Warming is a technological challenge. And it will be solved by scientists and engineers. Not by socialist, commies, Democrats or other assorted left wing scum.

11 posted on 12/04/2005 6:05:59 AM PST by samtheman
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To: Dallas59

Ok, how long before "tourist guy" appears here?


12 posted on 12/04/2005 6:31:04 AM PST by Mogger (Independence, better fuel eonomy and performance with American made synthetic oil.)
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To: Dallas59
Why not Gimp? It's free. And I believe it has the 'clone' tool.
13 posted on 12/04/2005 6:43:33 AM PST by BricksAndMortar
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To: samtheman
Global Warming is a technological challenge. And it will be solved by scientists and engineers.

Global warming has been a periodic event throughout history. Whether it poses a "challenge" to be "solved" remains to be seen. Warming of the northern zones may be seen as a gift of God before all is said and done.

The putative negative effects of warming, such as inundated shorelines and superstorms, are hypothetical, with huge error factors in the models which predict them, as is the proposition that we human beings have anything to do with it in the frist place.

President Bush is right to counsel patience until we identify with some accuracy what problems, if any, we will have to "solve. If and when that happens, then yes, it will be technology not politics which will serve us best.

14 posted on 12/04/2005 9:37:29 AM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: Dallas59

"Photoshop Elements..$69 at Frys"


Is that the 3.0 or 4.0 version?


15 posted on 12/04/2005 10:00:07 AM PST by HighWheeler (Death is better than taxes because death doesn't get worse every year.)
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To: hinckley buzzard
Warming of the northern zones may be seen as a gift of God before all is said and done.
Weren't all the Club Of Rome Chicken Littles squawking about the Coming Ice Age back in the 70s?
16 posted on 12/04/2005 10:22:15 AM PST by samtheman
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To: HighWheeler

4


17 posted on 12/04/2005 10:23:44 AM PST by Dallas59 (“You love life, while we love death"( Al-Qaeda & Democratic Party)
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To: samtheman
But Kyoto is no longer backed up by science. The evidence is that even if India and China joined, it wouldn't be enough. Not nearly enough. The gasses are already released and the warming is already in progress and the effects of that warming include increased water vapor in the atmosphere, which is also a warming gas.

Was it ever backed up by science? I'd love to know where you're getting your numbers on the impact of human-produced atmospheric gases. Can you quantify the effect of humans on warming? Once someone can show me that humans have any significant effect over and above natural processes like volcanism, variations in solar output, perturbations in axial tilt etc. I'll consider their arguments. The earth gets warm then it gets cold again. It's been going on for millions if not billions of years.

18 posted on 12/04/2005 11:29:13 AM PST by Bernard Marx (Don't make the mistake of interpreting my Civility as Servility)
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