Yes. But remember that W was supposed to be a weak candidate and even his own brother (hard to forgive Jeb for that) commented that he didn't think that W was ready to be President.
Also, I do see that NH is no longer the bellwether of mainstream America. It's a different place than it was 20 years ago.
You are very correct there... NH went for Kerry in 2004 - too many Massachusetts mommies moving north for bigger houses and then voting with the teachers' unions.