Gov's political strategist, Mike Murphy, just said he thinks 75 will still pass.
His rationale is that L.A. figures will take 75 underwater, but OC, Riverside, San Diego will even that out. He says there are 200k absentees that came in today that won't be counted until later, so he says "we probably won't know for 24 hours."
G-d bless the OC. Arnold's props are going in the 60s there. I spent the early evening there and everyone was conservative. It felt like heaven. Crossing back over the Orange Curtain into L.A. County, we are always in the minority.
The trendline is not good. For example, 75 was at 55% about 1.5 hours ago and has steadily declined to 49.9%. It hasn't had a blip upward. Steady, steady, down, even in the face of more Orange, Riverside, Kern, Ventura, Bernardino and Diego votes.
Hate to break facts to you, but LA has over 90% of its precints yet to report.
The only problem with that analysis, is that a majority of the votes have been counted in Orange, Riverside and San Diego, collectively, and only 9% in LA county, so I don't think so, 200,000 late absentees and provisional ballots to the contrary notwithstanding, which will about match the state result I suspect. They usually do. Tell Murphy he's wrong. By the way, only 30% of the votes have been counted in Alameda, and 30% in more marginal, but still hostile, Contra Costa County, and 24% in also marginal but hostile Santa Clara County, on this issue. Tell Murphy he is urber wrong.