Hurricane Wilma Intermediate Advisory Number 36a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
7 Am Edt Mon Oct 24 2005
...wilma Moving Into Southwestern Florida...
A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For All Of The Florida
Keys... Including The Dry Tortugas And Florida Bay...along The
Florida West Coast From Longboat Key Southward... And Along The
Florida East Coast From Titusville Southward... Including Lake
Okeechobee.
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect Along The Florida West
Coast North Of Longboat Key To Steinhatchee River...and Along The
Florida East Coast North Of Titusville To St. Augustine.
A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect Along The Northeast Coast
Of Florida From North Of St. Augustine To Fernandina Beach.
A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Cuban Provinces Of
Ciudad De La Habana...la Habana...and Pinar Del Rio. A Tropical
Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Isle Of Youth. A Hurricane
Watch Remains In Effect For The Province Of Matanzas. These Warnings
And Watches Will Likely Be Discontinued Later This Morning.
A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Northwestern
Bahamas...including The Abacos...andros Island...berry Islands...
Bimini...eleuthera...grand Bahama Island...and New Providence.
For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.
At 7 Am Edt...1100z...the Center Of Hurricane Wilma Was Located Just
Inland Near Latitude 26.1 North...longitude 81.4 West Or About 10
Miles North Of Everglades City Florida.
Wilma Is Moving Toward The Northeast Near 23 Mph And A Continued
Increase In Forward Speed Is Expected During The Next 24 Hours. On
This Track The Center Will Cross The Southern Florida Peninsula And
Move Into The Atlantic Later Today. This Is A Large Hurricane And
The Strongest Winds In The Eyewall Extend Well Away From The
Center. Persons Are Advised Not To Venture Outdoors During The
Relative Calm Of The Eye Because Winds Will Soon Increase Quite
Rapidly.
Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 120 Mph...with Higher Gusts. Wilma
Is A Category Three Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson Scale.
Some Weakening Is Likely As Wilma Crosses The Southern Florida
Peninsula Today.
Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 90 Miles From The
Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 230
Miles. A Wind Gust To 95 Mph Was Reported At Everglades City And A
Gust To 75 Mph Was Reported At Naples Florida.
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 950 Mb...28.05 Inches.
Storm Surge Flooding Of 12 To 18 Ft Above Normal Tide Levels Is
Still Possible Along The Southwest Florida Coast Near And To The
South Of Where The Center Has Made Landfall. Storm Surge
Flooding Of 5 To 9 Ft Above Normal Is Possible In The Florida Keys
And Florida Bay... As Well As In Lake Okeechobee. Storm Surge
Flooding Of 2 To 4 Feet Is Possible Along The Extreme Southeastern
Coast Of Florida.
Wilma Is Expected To Produce 4 To 6 Inches Of Rainfall...with
Maximum Amounts Of 10 Inches...across Central And Southern
Florida...including The Florida Keys. Western Cuba May See
Additional Rainfall Accumulations Of 2 To 4 Inches Through Today.
Rainfall Totals Of 2 To 4 Inches Are Possible Over Portions Of The
Northwest Bahamas.
Tornadoes Are Possible Over Portions Of The Central And Southern
Florida Peninsula And The Florida Keys Today.
Repeating The 7 Am Edt Position...26.1 N... 81.4 W. Movement
Toward...northeast Near 22 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...120 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure... 950 Mb.
An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 9 Am Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 11 Am
Edt.
Forecaster Pasch
Stronger gusts in Punta Gorda now. Probably peaking above 60. Power flickered a few more times, and I'll be sort of surprised if it stays on.
Got the call about 2 hours ago. Me and the cadaver dog are headed for south Florida.
This plot puts Wilma precisely on the same track it's been following since 4 pm Sunday, and does not reflect any significant turn at landfall.
What I believe is happening is that the windfield and eyewall precipitation are no longer concentric, as evidenced by this image:
http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/hurricane_field.asp
I don't know what effect this will have on its future track or associated damage paths.