Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part IV

NHC - NOAA ^ | 24 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Category Three Major Hurricane Wilma is barreling toward the Southwest Florida coastline. The storm is packing wind speeds of 125mph, moving NW at 20mph, with an enormous eye 65 miles in diameter. Landfall is anticipated shortly in Collier County between 6:00 and 7:00AM ET.

Storm surge flooding of 9 feet to 17 feet is possible along the coast near and to the south of where Wilma makes landfall. Storm surge of 5 to 8 feet is predicted for the Keys. The storm has spawned tornados throughout the Florida peninsula since yesterday evening.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Melbourne Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Key West Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Tampa Bay Radar Still image w/watches warnings

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24

[sheikdetailfeather]

Praying for your sister. I have not heard anything about Lake Placid. That is probably a good sign. I hope she gets in touch soon. I think I will run out and get a paper before they all get them. The sun is shing here N. of Orlando but the air is LIKE ICE and wind still gusting.

[Battle Hymn of the Republic]

Just spoke with my family in Layton, FL (Long Key). They are totally flooded on the gulf side... said they have never seen it this bad. Prayers for them.

[rodguy911]

Just got power back to the computer.
Wow what rough night!I would estimate we had 70-90knot sustained last night with higher gusts. We had the "shutter song" all night long, it was a bit spooky and scary. One shutter came unlocked about 5. I had to open the window to re-lock it. My wife was not too happy aobut that. But it locked back.
Lots of tree damage in islamorada minor flooding, Key West really got pounded.

My daughter is trying to get the water out of her house and wading through the streets earlier. Cars with two feet of water, its pretty bad down there. several choke points on us one make it impassible in some areas for a while til the water goes down. I just drove into down town islamroada and minor damage.

glad its about over.

[sheikdetailfeather]

I have heard pro and con about whether the forward speed is factored in already. Some say yes. Some say no. What you say makes sense though.

[NautiNurse]

I've got two little windows downstairs opened up to let the fresh air in here. A little too gusty yet to open the upstairs windows. Heavenly cool weather...going to sleep very well tonight.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Thanks for the report. We in N. Orlando got up bright and early and I told my sister "We were lucky! We never lost P...(the lights went off at that moment!). Then they came back on and stayed on. She would not let me mention it again. Cable was intermittant but working ok. Looks like Broward got it pretty bad.

[dixie sass]

My son is in Key West. Just got off the phone with him and he was wondering if they were going to be under martial law, if there was a curfew and when FEMA was going to get in there and what the status of US 1 was. He is supposed to call me back in about an hour. He put Harley on and she told me there was looting already.

[NautiNurse]

Great to hear you are safe and have electricity. Reports from Key West indicate the residents pretty much got caught with their pants down for this one.

Glad your daughter is safe. Good sleeping weather for tonight.

[geopyg]

Glad to hear you made it through okay.

[dixie sass]

Tried to raise my brother the Sheriff on his cell phone and got nothing but dead air.

[sheikdetailfeather]

What area is he in?

[flattorney]

I have heard pro and con about whether the forward speed is factored in already. Some say yes. Some say no. What you say makes sense though.

No, forward motion is not factored in already. But in understanding hurricane forward motion kinetics the pros will add it to the projected hurricane wind speeds on the "dirty side" (Quad 1) of the hurricane but not at a 1:1 value.
It's not about wind speed anyway, it's about forward motion kinetics. That's the whole ball game.

[dixie sass]

Broward County. Don't know where they would have him working. My other brother tried him also and could get nothing.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Thanks for the clarification.

[rodguy911]

Broward either got a small tornado or real high gusts from the looks of it. Glad you guys are o.k.

[rodguy911]

Wow, I had not heard about looting, hope your son is o.k.

[flattorney]

Here's the direct video link for, Windows Media Player Series 9 or higher, so we don't have to watch Channel 10's live feed on their postage stamp size little player. (Cut & Paste URL into browser)

mms://a621.l1291838620.c12918.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/621/12918/v0001/reflector:38620

[Jrabbit]

Where is Wilma headed, now? She cranked back up to a Cat 3 according to Fox...

[rodguy911]

Thanks NautiNurse. Are there official reports of looting in Key West, I had not heard?

[Guenevere]

Looks like it's almost over for our area....

..Still very windy, but the rain has stopped.

Our power flickered, but only went out for a couple minutes....YAY

Loving this cooler weather!!

NautiNurse, you need to take a luxurious bath and a loooooong nap!!

Thank-you!