[steveegg]

Finally got the last 4 eye-fixes from the VDMs plotted. They've been noticing what appears to be an eyewall replacement (outer eyewall between 60 and 70 nm wide, inner one or reminants about 15-20 nm wide).

Position at 1:28 am EDT - 21 49N 86 48W
Position at 3:06 am EDT - 21 56N 86 42W (motion 39 degrees at 6.3 mph)
Position at 4:05 am EDT - 21 58N 86 36W - this fix is not as tight as the others, so I'll toss this one out
Position at 5:17 am EDT - 22 11N 86 31W (motion from the 3:06 fix 34 degrees at 9.5 mph)

Average motion over the last 3:49 - 36 degrees at 8.1 mph. She's coming, and coming quick.

[laz]

She's coming, and coming quick.

Yup, she'll start accelerating now. I think it's all set in stone, now. Just gotta wait and watch it unfold.

I predict in the vicinity of Marco Island, and definitely no farther north than Naples. Cat 2. Maybe borderline Cat 3.