[jeffers]

Discussion 31 shows landfall 3.7 miles south of Naples, at 0851 Monday morning. Times computed this way usually run late than reality, but maybe not so much in this case, with a data point just inshore.

Tomorrow when the ERC is done and the eyewall diameter firms up, I'll put up some surge extent projections.

[laz]

Discussion 31 shows landfall 3.7 miles south of Naples

That's in line with my own prediction that she won't hit north of Naples. I'm calling for a Cat 2, borderline Cat 3.

[The Iguana]

Discussion 31 shows landfall 3.7 miles south of Naples, at 0851 Monday morning. Times computed this way usually run late than reality, but maybe not so much in this case, with a data point just inshore.

Joy.

I'll be keen to see those surge projections.