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Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III (TS Alpha gets honorable mention too)
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.

In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.

The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24


TOPICS: Front Page News; Mexico; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: alpha; hurricane; tropical; wilma
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To: laz

Remember it? I was up posting it, not believing what I was copying and pasting.


1,641 posted on 10/23/2005 11:21:11 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: Born in a Rage

Have you had any word from your family tonight?


1,642 posted on 10/23/2005 11:21:36 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
LOL!!

And maybe fixin to collide with Alpha. What a finale... i hope it's finale-ing.

1,643 posted on 10/23/2005 11:22:14 PM PDT by exhaustedmomma (Calling illegal alien an undocumented immigrant is like calling a burglar an uninvited house guest)
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To: laz

I'll be thinking of you and all the Freepers in FL. Take care of yourself out there.


1,644 posted on 10/23/2005 11:23:41 PM PDT by Born in a Rage
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To: steveegg

Wilma is a hurricane of extremes. She had a tiny pinhole eye, now she has a huge one. She crawled around at 2 mph, now she's flying at 20.


1,645 posted on 10/23/2005 11:24:11 PM PDT by laz (Miami, FL (Cutler Ridge))
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To: laz

laz... couldn't you put it up for safety! And somehow crack a piece off. Do you have one of those attachments for your drill that makes a circle/hole? A peephole! We want you safe and secure!! Will help you figure out a way to see out!! Get busy, buster!


1,646 posted on 10/23/2005 11:24:20 PM PDT by exhaustedmomma (Calling illegal alien an undocumented immigrant is like calling a burglar an uninvited house guest)
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To: exhaustedmomma
Can this be far behind?


1,647 posted on 10/23/2005 11:24:47 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
What likely is the last report from the Hunters for a couple hours until the next plane makes it in - at 1:54 am EDT, pressure up 1 mb to 954 mb, max flight-level winds down slightly but still supporting a Cat 3 -

821 
URNT12 KNHC 240615
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/05:54:00Z
B. 25 deg 02 min N
  083 deg 12 min W
C. 700 mb 2716 m
D. NA  kt
E. NA  deg     nm
F. 059 deg 080 kt
G. 309 deg 024 nm
H.         955 mb
I. 11  C/ 3049 m
J.  15 C/ 3046 m
K.  15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C60
N. 1234 / 7
O. 0.02 / 3  nm
P. AF305 2424A WILMA        OB 33
MAX FL WIND 112 KT SW QUAD 04:11:30 Z
MAX FL TEMP 18 C, 301 / 14NM

Motion over the previous 1:33 - northeast (41 degrees) at 20.6 mph. This puts it 127 miles west-southwest (244 degrees) of Everglades City and 116 miles southwest (229 degrees) of Naples.

1,648 posted on 10/23/2005 11:24:51 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: laz

What are "stone crabs"?? That industry in Everglades City is going to be destroyed according to the Fox guy there....I can't remember any of these reporters names.


1,649 posted on 10/23/2005 11:25:46 PM PDT by Jrabbit (Kaufman County, Texas)
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To: laz
I've left one shutter off. The living room window uses five shutters, and I've left the one closest to the front door off so I can look out and see what's going on. I debated with myself whether leaving it off might be dangerous, but I can't stand the thought of being completely sealed in and unable to see what's happening out there.

Yeah, I felt the same way. And every time I looked out, I got this queasy feeling like a tree limb was about to come through the window and take a nosedive through my eyeball. Here's what I wrote in a blog about it:

By midnight the winds were howling; it was just an indescribable sound. The entire house was boarded up except for a 1/2" x 4' slot on a front window and a 8" slot at the bottom of his back door window. My brother had purposely left the peepholes so we would be able to see outside. Thank goodness he had the foresight to do this because it allowed us to look outside periodically and kept me from getting too claustrophobic. Actually, I'm not sure if it was a blessing or a curse. It may have been better to remain oblivious to the power of that howling wind. Every time I gathered the courage, I would go to the back window, kneel down, and cautiously peek out to look at the trees. Oh. My. Gosh. I've never seen trees bend so much without breaking.

1,650 posted on 10/23/2005 11:25:53 PM PDT by Nita Nupress
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To: Howlin

THOUGHT THIS POST FROM EARLY IN THE THREAD (#95) WAS WORTH NOTING AGAIN. NOTE THE CPA COORDINATES FROM 90 HOURS AGO IS WITHIN 1 MIN. OF LAT/LONG AS IT IS FORCECAST NOW!

Posted by Rte66 to geopyg
On News/Activism 10/19/2005 11:41:13 PM PDT · 95 of 1,554

You can put your coordinates into this little gadget and find out how close the storm is going to get to you, based on the current forecasts. I took the liberty of doing your mom's (Naples) for you.

How Close Can the Hurricane Get?


Results for 26.7N, 81.48W: The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 26.3N, 81.1W or about 38.0 miles (61.1 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the eye will be at that location is in about 90.1 hours.


1,651 posted on 10/23/2005 11:26:19 PM PDT by geopyg (I BELIEVE CONGRESSMAN WELDON! (Ever Vigilant, Never Fearful))
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To: Howlin

Hey Howlin. My MIL had a ride and a place to stay all ready and set for her...she said she would go, but at the last minute she refused. So, she's still on Marco - probably sound asleep right now.


1,652 posted on 10/23/2005 11:27:09 PM PDT by Born in a Rage
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To: laz; exhaustedmomma
laz... couldn't you put it up for safety! And somehow crack a piece off. Do you have one of those attachments for your drill that makes a circle/hole? A peephole!

laz, I agree with her. I wasn't talking about an entire shutter. Yikes!

1,653 posted on 10/23/2005 11:28:24 PM PDT by Nita Nupress
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To: Howlin
snicker

Girl, you are on a roll tonight!
As long as birds/chickens/ducks/fowl don't start hacking coughing fits...

1,654 posted on 10/23/2005 11:30:40 PM PDT by exhaustedmomma (Calling illegal alien an undocumented immigrant is like calling a burglar an uninvited house guest)
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To: Born in a Rage

See post 1651. Looks like the landfall will be right on your Mom's place (perhaps a few miles south). Hope she is in a highrise and not a house. Thoughts with her and all other riding this out.


1,655 posted on 10/23/2005 11:30:51 PM PDT by geopyg (I BELIEVE CONGRESSMAN WELDON! (Ever Vigilant, Never Fearful))
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To: Nita Nupress

I spent one of the most miserable nights of my life back in December of 2001 when we had an ice storm here in NC; the power went out at 11:30 and it was pitch black and all night long, all you could hear was trees bending, snappy, falling through the OTHER folliage, and hitting the ground with unbelieveable THUDS/SLAMS, shaking the entier house like it was a toy.

Of course, because it was dark, you couldn't tell WHICH tree it was or WHERE it was going to fall (would it hit the house, the cars?).

Even wearing headphones to listen to music didn't block out the noises or the shaking of the ground.

We lost 33 trees.

And the next morning it was like a surreal nightmare; I've never seen anything like it.

And ALL my neighors kept saying was, "Oh, this was nothing; you should have been here for Fran."

No thanks. From what they said -- and what you described -- that sounds way too close to hell on earth for me.


1,656 posted on 10/23/2005 11:31:39 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: NautiNurse; steveegg
Is it over yet!

Damn this thread's not going to make it to landfall before lockout. What happen to Nauti "Little Debbie's" Nurse for Wilma thread part 4. Hope NN is safe, dry, and content after polishing off a whole box of those 'lil gems, lol.

For people on a good broadband connection, CrownWeather has been running all the major SF radar locations on their great site, for the last 6 hours.

Best Consolidated Hurr Wilma site on the Net

,other than this thread of course. I've been using Crownweather, among other sites, for many years.

Here's another great storm loop live track I've been using for years. This link is for Miami.

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?loc=usflct16554&seg=LocalWeather&prodgrp=SevereWeather&product=MetroStormWatchLoop&prodnav=none
1,657 posted on 10/23/2005 11:32:39 PM PDT by flattorney
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To: geopyg

Amazing!

We have friends here tonight on their way to Naples; are they going to get it bad?


1,658 posted on 10/23/2005 11:33:04 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Born in a Rage

She's asleep?

Does she know she's keeping US up with worry? :-)


1,659 posted on 10/23/2005 11:33:38 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
Alaska shakes all day all night.
Nothing unusual at all.

I have been watchin' the shake list since 1998.

I check it 2 or more times a day.

Earthquake tracking enthusiast.
Love all geology.
1,660 posted on 10/23/2005 11:34:08 PM PDT by oceanperch (I love my Labradors Kolbe, Porter, Hunter and Yol)
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