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To: shield
I hope you're right, but so far this storm has defied just about every intensity forecast that has been made to date. The GFDL model early on had it ramping up to Category Five and everyone basically poo-pooed it; well, it turns out that GFDL was actually conservative. Right now I have no faith that this thing will weaken an iota - looking at the surface water temperatures in the projected path, I see nothing lower than mid to upper 80's, and they're saying that the upwelling is bringing even warmer water up to the surface!
707 posted on 10/19/2005 7:16:53 AM PDT by CFC__VRWC ("Anytime a liberal squeals in outrage, an angel gets its wings!" - gidget7)
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To: CFC__VRWC
Interesting info:

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog
There has never been a hurricane like Wilma before. With an unbelievable round of intensification that saw the pressure drop 87 mb in just 12 hours, Wilma smashed the all-time record for lowest pressure in an Atlantic hurricane this morning. The 4 am hurricane hunter report put the pressure at 882 mb, easily besting the previous record of 888 mb set in Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. And since no hurricane hunter airplane has been in the eye since then, Wilma may be even stronger now. The eye diameter of Wilma during this round of intense shrunk as low as 2 nautical miles, which may be the smallest eye diameter ever measured in a tropical cyclone. The only eye that small I could find in the records was a 3 nm the Category 4 Typhoon Jeliwat of 2000. It's amazing the hurricane hunters were even able to penetrate the eye--it's really tough to hit a 2 mile wide eye when you're flying crabbed over at a 30 degree yaw angle fighting horizontal flight level winds of 185 mph and severe turbulence. This is an incredibly compact, amazingly intense hurricane, the likes of which has never been seen in the Atlantic. The Hurricane Season of 2005 keeps topping itself with new firsts, and now boasts three of the five most intense hurricanes of all time--Katrina, Rita, and Wilma.
Where will Wilma go? snip
The closest analogue storm I can find in the archives to Wilma is an October 1906 hurricane that looks remarkably similar.

715 posted on 10/19/2005 7:28:53 AM PDT by exhaustedmomma (Calling illegal alien an undocumented immigrant is like calling a burglar an uninvited house guest)
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