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To: Marak

If you live in, say, Cape Coral, and it matters to you that a 4-5 day forecast track has a storm going over Cape Coral, or going over Marco Island, you really don't understand hurricanes or hurricane forecasting.

This is the cause of people being surprised by storms when they had no reason to be, and then taking out their frustration on the forecasters.


153 posted on 10/18/2005 3:05:26 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist
This is the cause of people being surprised by storms when they had no reason to be

The way I was surprised by Katrina here in Miami. Everybody expected her to move northwest after landfall just south of Ft. Lauderdale, so I didn't even put my shutters up. As soon as she made landfall, she suddenly turned southwest and tracked directly over all of Miami-Dade County. Her eye passed within ten miles or so west of me. Luckily, she was a Cat 1 with 80 MPH winds, but that was scary enough. There was tremendous thunder and lightning, my power went out, and I got about 20 inches of rain.

As far as Wilma is concerned, she's going to affect Miami no matter what track she takes across the peninsula, so I'm ready this time.

159 posted on 10/18/2005 3:25:14 PM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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