Hurricane Wilma...Florida Freepers stay alert.
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Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma has formed in the NW Caribbean Sea. The NHC forecast indicates she will emerge into the Gulf of Mexico as a major Category Three storm. Current forecase models indicate a Florida peninsula landfall.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Get ready, Florida.
Hurricane Wilma...Florida Freepers stay alert.
Hurricane Wilma...Florida Freepers stay alert.
Head's up South Florida....
Just heard on Fox it is a hurricane. Here we go again!
Awwwwww geesh...not the news we Floridians wanted.
The GFDL thinks so too.
Thanks for re-posting the story over here.
Monitoring ...
Thanks for the ping, I have family in Punta Gorda.
I'll be watching this one.
Now don't talk like that, we could use some rain, but we don't need a hurricane, LOL.
Sorry, there is one...
Hurricane Wilma Forecast/advisory Number 12
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al242005
1500z Tue Oct 18 2005
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For Honduras From The
Honduras/nicaragua Border Westward To Cabo Camaron.
A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Remain In Effect For
The Cayman Islands.
Wilma Is Forecast To Become A Major Hurricane In The Northwestern
Caribbean Sea. All Interests In Western Cuba...the Yucatan
Peninsula...the Florida Keys...and The Florida Peninsula Should
Closely Monitor The Progress Of Wilma.
Hurricane Center Located Near 16.5n 80.6w At 18/1500z
Position Accurate Within 20 Nm
Present Movement Toward The Northwest Or 320 Degrees At 6 Kt
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure 977 Mb
Max Sustained Winds 65 Kt With Gusts To 80 Kt.
64 Kt....... 15ne 15se 0sw 15nw.
50 Kt....... 30ne 20se 20sw 30nw.
34 Kt.......105ne 75se 50sw 105nw.
12 Ft Seas..105ne 75se 50sw 105nw.
Winds And Seas Vary Greatly In Each Quadrant. Radii In Nautical
Miles Are The Largest Radii Expected Anywhere In That Quadrant.
Repeat...center Located Near 16.5n 80.6w At 18/1500z
At 18/1200z Center Was Located Near 16.2n 80.3w
Forecast Valid 19/0000z 17.0n 81.2w
Max Wind 75 Kt...gusts 90 Kt.
64 Kt... 20ne 20se 10sw 20nw.
50 Kt... 40ne 40se 30sw 40nw.
34 Kt...120ne 90se 60sw 120nw.
Forecast Valid 19/1200z 17.7n 82.3w
Max Wind 90 Kt...gusts 110 Kt.
64 Kt... 25ne 25se 25sw 25nw.
50 Kt... 50ne 50se 50sw 50nw.
34 Kt...120ne 90se 75sw 120nw.
Forecast Valid 20/0000z 18.5n 83.5w
Max Wind 100 Kt...gusts 120 Kt.
64 Kt... 30ne 30se 30sw 30nw.
50 Kt... 60ne 60se 60sw 60nw.
34 Kt...150ne 120se 90sw 150nw.
Forecast Valid 20/1200z 19.6n 84.5w
Max Wind 105 Kt...gusts 130 Kt.
50 Kt... 60ne 60se 60sw 60nw.
34 Kt...150ne 120se 90sw 150nw.
Forecast Valid 21/1200z 22.0n 85.5w
Max Wind 105 Kt...gusts 130 Kt.
50 Kt... 60ne 60se 60sw 60nw.
34 Kt...150ne 120se 90sw 150nw.
Extended Outlook. Note...errors For Track Have Averaged Near 250 Nm
On Day 4 And 325 Nm On Day 5...and For Intensity Near 20 Kt Each Day
Outlook Valid 22/1200z 24.0n 84.0w
Max Wind 100 Kt...gusts 120 Kt.
Outlook Valid 23/1200z 28.5n 78.5w
Max Wind 75 Kt...gusts 90 Kt.
Request For 3 Hourly Ship Reports Within 300 Miles Of 16.5n 80.6w
Next Advisory At 18/2100z
Forecaster Franklin
Yup. You're the hurricane 'girl.'
Looks like you should pull your shutters out of storage. Use those 'flowery' ones I like so much, lol.
Good luck to all Floridians in the path. Get your gasoline for your generators now
...Wilma becomes the 12th hurricane of the season as it heads northwestward...expected to strengthen further today... A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Honduras from the Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Cabo camaron. A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for the Cayman Islands. Wilma is forecast to become a major hurricane in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. All interests in western Cuba...the Yucatan Peninsula...the Florida Keys...and the Florida Peninsula should closely monitor the progress of Wilma. For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office. At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Hurricane Wilma was located near latitude 16.5 north... longitude 80.6 west or about 195 miles... 320 km... south-southeast of Grand Cayman and about 200 miles... 325 km...east-northeast of Cabo Gracias a Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. Wilma is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph ...11 km/hr... and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph...120 km/hr...with higher gusts. Wilma is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Wilma is expected to become a major hurricane during the next day or two. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles... 30 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 120 miles...195 km. Estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb...28.85 inches. Wilma is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the Cayman Islands...Jamaica...Haiti...and southeastern Cuba...with isolated amounts of 8 to 12 inches possible. Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 3 inches...with isolated amounts of 6 to 10 inches...are possible over Honduras and Nicaragua. Repeating the 11 am EDT position...16.5 N... 80.6 W. Movement toward...northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 977 mb. An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 PM EDT. Forecaster Franklin
Thanks for the ping, NN.
Onyx,
How's Cayman fairing. I imagine some pretty rough surf on the south side and west end of the island since it's just been sitting down there.
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