[jackliberty]

Models have improved greatly in the past 30 years but still can't anticipate all the ways the atmosphere will respond as greenhouse gases climb. The dozen models in use today predict average temperature increases of 3 to 11 degrees by the end of the century.

The first predictions of 10,000 dead New Orleanians after Katrina came from a LSU computer model. (At that point, Nagin was saying, "hundreds, maybe thousands.")

I was a skeptic of the 10,000 figure. Can I get some money from whatever industries?

[redangus]

The problem with the computer models are that in 1987 they said 2-3 degrees by 2000, then in 1990 it was 2-4 by 2010 now its 3-11 by 2100. Everytime the date passes and the temp hasn't risen enough they reset the clock.