[commish]

NEW IBERIA LA     15  6  1  1 23   GULF 28N 95W      19  3  1  X 23
PORT ARTHUR TX    17 11  1  X 29   GULF 27N 96W       4  4  2  2 12
GALVESTON TX      20  7  1  1 29   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  2 

OK, I don't get this. The advisory calls for the NW turn and states Tx/LA line, but the probability shows higher for Galveston than it does for Port Arthur and New Iberia.

NHC! Which is it? Galveston or Port Arthur?

[Strategerist]

The forecast landfall is not at the LA/TX line, it's halfway between Trinity Bay and the LA/TX Line.

[steveegg]

That's to be within 65 nm of that spot at a certain point. Galveston is closer than Port Arthur, and the cone is tighter at that point.

[GOP_1900AD]

I would say just NE of Galveston. The worst surge will likely hit - thankfully - in between the Houston-Galveston complex and the Golden Triangle. At least I hope so ...