Problem is that's drawn as a 35 mile diameter eyewall, and the latest vapor image looks more like it's up to 40 now. It's already too doggone close to Galveston Bay, and even slight westing at this point will make a significant difference in surge effects.
Yeah - if it hits ANY point to the SW of Galv. Bay, Houston is toast from surge.... never mind the winds.
Bastardi alert over on H&C.