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Barone: John McCain (Bush's Likely Successor?)
US News & World Report ^ | September 22, 2005 | Michael Barone

Posted on 09/22/2005 5:11:53 PM PDT by RWR8189

I attended an American Spectator dinner last night featuring John McCain. McCain spent much of the evening casting votes in the Senate, but returned and spoke with impressive energy and at considerable length. He said it was fine if everything was on the record. Those who think that McCain is still smoldering with anger at George W. Bush over the 2000 campaign should think again: McCain spoke fervently and with obvious sincerity about how much he admires Bush and the job he has been doing as president.

McCain addressed two issues that have the potential to divide the Republican base: spending and immigration.

On spending, he said that to offset the spending of Hurricane Katrina and to prevent what "may be the largest deficit in history," Congress should revisit the highway bill—the big transportation bill passed earlier this year—and should consider delaying or repealing the Medicare prescription drug bill. On both of these issues his positions are to the right of the Bush administration's: After all, Bush signed both bills.

McCain's position on the highway bill is consistent with his longstanding and mostly futile attacks on pork barrel spending, but he has more allies this time: Members of Congress like Sen. Richard Shelby and (!) House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi have said they'd delay spending on projects in their state or district. The pork-busters movement of which I have written may be gathering momentum.

As for the Medicare prescription-drug bill, Democrats have been trashing this legislation persistently, and it isn't very popular in the polls. The prescription-drug benefit is scheduled to go into effect next year. Republicans passed this bill because Bush and House Republicans didn't want to go into the 2004 election cycle as opponents of a prescription-drug benefit. But now they don't see it as much of a political plus. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.

The other issue that threatens to divide the Republican base is immigration. On this issue McCain stands to the left of the administration. He is the cosponsor, with Edward Kennedy, of one of the two major legislative vehicles on the issue; the other is cosponsored by his Arizona colleague Jon Kyl and Texas Republican John Cornyn. A major difference between the bills is that Kyl-Cornyn would require illegal immigrants wishing to legalize their status to return to their countries of origin and McCain-Kennedy would not.

Arizona is the state through which thousands of illegal immigrants have been coming across the border, and McCain speaks with visible anger at the spectacle of illegals roaming across the desert and dying of thirst. "The borders are broken." To those who favor the Kyl-Cornyn return provision, he says, "We have 11 million illegals. Are we going to send them back? I don't think so." Allowing people to legalize their status and then take their place in line is "not my definition of amnesty."

In response to my question, McCain suggested he was flexible on the issue and willing to compromise on various provisions. He even said he was willing to address first the status of agriculture workers, on which a bipartisan compromise has already been worked out by California Democratic Rep. Howard Berman. White House sources believe it is inevitable that Congress will have to address the issue. McCain will be a major player, and the White House could have no stronger advocate of whatever Congress works out than John McCain.

McCain of course was asked whether he would run for president in 2008, and he of course said that he hadn't made any decision. He spoke evidently sincere words of praise for other possible candidates: Bill Frist, George Allen, Rudolph Giuliani. But if his demeanor Wednesday night was a fair indication, he's running. Polls currently show him and Giuliani leading among Republican primary voters. His comments on spending and immigration were in line with the animating spirit of Republican primary electorates, even if some of the measures he continues to support (McCain-Kennedy, the McCain-Lieberman bill on global warming, campaign-finance regulation) are not.

 


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2000; 2008; 44thpresident; barone; bush43; immigration; johnmccain; mccain; mccain2008; rino
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To: RWR8189

No worries. McCain does not represent the Republican base.


41 posted on 09/22/2005 5:43:45 PM PDT by citizencon
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To: sinkspur

Dear sinkspur,

I don't think he'll be the first choice of many Republicans at all.

But he might be the second or third choice of a large number.

If Mr. Giuliani actually runs, Sen. McCain will appear positively bedrock conservative next to the former mayor of New York, and if Mr. Giuliani actually threatens to do well, Sen. McCain could actually possibly take the nomination as the "electable" alternative to Mr. Giuliani.


sitetest


42 posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:24 PM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: RWR8189

YIKES!! NEVER!!


43 posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:30 PM PDT by Gimme
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To: madison10

Amen to that!


44 posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:53 PM PDT by bmwcyle (We broke Pink's Code and found a terrorist message)
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To: RWR8189

Powder..Patch..Ball FIRE!!

Never McCain... Never


45 posted on 09/22/2005 5:45:24 PM PDT by BallandPowder
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To: RWR8189

There's no way in $&%@$# I would ever vote for Judas McCain. And if the GOP would be so stupid as to nominate him for President, they will lose my vote.

This is no idle threat. I don't care who the Democrats run. I am NOT voting for Judas McCain.


46 posted on 09/22/2005 5:45:39 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Austin TX - and staying put.)
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To: RWR8189

Repubs will have no one decent and a household name to run...we're pretty much screwed. I can't wait to secede once the Whore of Babylon wins...


47 posted on 09/22/2005 5:46:53 PM PDT by WKUHilltopper
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To: dts32041

Wish I could argue with you.

Sadly, you are correct.

Libertarians are looking good. Hey, Neil Boortz! Ya there?


48 posted on 09/22/2005 5:47:12 PM PDT by HonestConservative (Bless our Servicemen!)
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To: RWR8189

McCain will run against Hillary, the conservative base will stay home.....and he will lose. Just as well, it's better to have a commie democrat as president than a commie republican. When CW2 breaks out it will be blamed on the democrats.


49 posted on 09/22/2005 5:47:17 PM PDT by Decepticon (The average age of the world's great civilizations has been 200 years......)
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To: sitetest

only on the litmus test social issues - which neither McCain or Rudy will move the ball on either way if elected president.

gay marriage for example has made its greatest strides - with Bush in the white house. Bush is against gay marriage, that's fine, but so what.


50 posted on 09/22/2005 5:47:35 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: G.Mason
Get a grip! Your paranoid ranting is upsetting the newbies

There's nothing paranoid about realizing that McCain is a player, and will be in three years. If he wants to be, Guiliani will be as well.

Somebody else may emerge, but he/she is going to have a big hill to climb.

51 posted on 09/22/2005 5:47:58 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: sinkspur

Repealing both of these would be all it takes to rebuild New Orleans.


a city below sea level does not need to be rebuilt, i think rita will prove that...


52 posted on 09/22/2005 5:48:11 PM PDT by ronnied (we are the only animals that bare our teeth in greeting...)
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To: Jake The Goose

Jake..as one Jake to another..I agree..he is a
radical with noting to offer....We need a guy
like Sen. George Allen, past Governor..very well
liked and can hold his own as a Conservative...He
needs more expoisure but he isn't the TV hog
that McCain and some of the others are...Maybe he
will get around to his intereest in running ...at
the right time. Jake


53 posted on 09/22/2005 5:48:54 PM PDT by sanjacjake
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To: Tall_Texan

the republican party stands for nothing if it allows the Clintons to walk back into the white house in 2008. if you want to be a part of helping that, go ahead.


54 posted on 09/22/2005 5:49:04 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: Sonny M

Tell that the biggie telecom companies which he usually does great things for as Chair.


55 posted on 09/22/2005 5:49:57 PM PDT by marajade (Yes, I'm a SW freak!)
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To: dubyawhoiluv
anyone who thinks mccain will win is stuck on stupid, LOL!!

As of now, the polls say only he and Rudy can beat Hillary. That's a snapshot, for sure, but, right now, there's two guys leading the GOP pack, and there's everybody else, way back.

56 posted on 09/22/2005 5:50:03 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: Sonny M

What states would Hillary be able to carry that Kerry didn't?


57 posted on 09/22/2005 5:50:54 PM PDT by marajade (Yes, I'm a SW freak!)
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To: cubreporter
Michael Barone is an Open Borders Kool-aid drinker. That is the only reason he is puffing McCain. If McCain had the Tancredo position on immigration and took the same positions on everything else, Barone would be saying McCain Who?
58 posted on 09/22/2005 5:51:30 PM PDT by Conservative Firster
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To: WKUHilltopper

Guiliani isn't a household name?


59 posted on 09/22/2005 5:52:03 PM PDT by marajade (Yes, I'm a SW freak!)
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To: sinkspur

McCain has health and age working against him.


60 posted on 09/22/2005 5:52:56 PM PDT by marajade (Yes, I'm a SW freak!)
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