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Barone: John McCain (Bush's Likely Successor?)
US News & World Report ^ | September 22, 2005 | Michael Barone

Posted on 09/22/2005 5:11:53 PM PDT by RWR8189

I attended an American Spectator dinner last night featuring John McCain. McCain spent much of the evening casting votes in the Senate, but returned and spoke with impressive energy and at considerable length. He said it was fine if everything was on the record. Those who think that McCain is still smoldering with anger at George W. Bush over the 2000 campaign should think again: McCain spoke fervently and with obvious sincerity about how much he admires Bush and the job he has been doing as president.

McCain addressed two issues that have the potential to divide the Republican base: spending and immigration.

On spending, he said that to offset the spending of Hurricane Katrina and to prevent what "may be the largest deficit in history," Congress should revisit the highway bill—the big transportation bill passed earlier this year—and should consider delaying or repealing the Medicare prescription drug bill. On both of these issues his positions are to the right of the Bush administration's: After all, Bush signed both bills.

McCain's position on the highway bill is consistent with his longstanding and mostly futile attacks on pork barrel spending, but he has more allies this time: Members of Congress like Sen. Richard Shelby and (!) House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi have said they'd delay spending on projects in their state or district. The pork-busters movement of which I have written may be gathering momentum.

As for the Medicare prescription-drug bill, Democrats have been trashing this legislation persistently, and it isn't very popular in the polls. The prescription-drug benefit is scheduled to go into effect next year. Republicans passed this bill because Bush and House Republicans didn't want to go into the 2004 election cycle as opponents of a prescription-drug benefit. But now they don't see it as much of a political plus. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.

The other issue that threatens to divide the Republican base is immigration. On this issue McCain stands to the left of the administration. He is the cosponsor, with Edward Kennedy, of one of the two major legislative vehicles on the issue; the other is cosponsored by his Arizona colleague Jon Kyl and Texas Republican John Cornyn. A major difference between the bills is that Kyl-Cornyn would require illegal immigrants wishing to legalize their status to return to their countries of origin and McCain-Kennedy would not.

Arizona is the state through which thousands of illegal immigrants have been coming across the border, and McCain speaks with visible anger at the spectacle of illegals roaming across the desert and dying of thirst. "The borders are broken." To those who favor the Kyl-Cornyn return provision, he says, "We have 11 million illegals. Are we going to send them back? I don't think so." Allowing people to legalize their status and then take their place in line is "not my definition of amnesty."

In response to my question, McCain suggested he was flexible on the issue and willing to compromise on various provisions. He even said he was willing to address first the status of agriculture workers, on which a bipartisan compromise has already been worked out by California Democratic Rep. Howard Berman. White House sources believe it is inevitable that Congress will have to address the issue. McCain will be a major player, and the White House could have no stronger advocate of whatever Congress works out than John McCain.

McCain of course was asked whether he would run for president in 2008, and he of course said that he hadn't made any decision. He spoke evidently sincere words of praise for other possible candidates: Bill Frist, George Allen, Rudolph Giuliani. But if his demeanor Wednesday night was a fair indication, he's running. Polls currently show him and Giuliani leading among Republican primary voters. His comments on spending and immigration were in line with the animating spirit of Republican primary electorates, even if some of the measures he continues to support (McCain-Kennedy, the McCain-Lieberman bill on global warming, campaign-finance regulation) are not.

 


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2000; 2008; 44thpresident; barone; bush43; immigration; johnmccain; mccain; mccain2008; rino
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To: sinkspur

"What is your source for these stats?"

There are at least 17 million illegal aliens in the US. 17 divided by 41 comes out to about 41 comes out to about 40%.


101 posted on 09/22/2005 6:16:46 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: GOPGuide
I work with washington lobbyists and conservative activists on a weekly basis and they ALL say McCain has no hope in the Primary.

LOL!! Depends who he's running against.

McCain is somethin'. He's known, he's got a record, and has run lots of campaigns.

You can't beat somethin' with nothin'.

102 posted on 09/22/2005 6:17:00 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: RWR8189

McCain was positively glowing about Bush's speech yesterday, calling it one of the best he had ever given. It was nice to hear that, as Bush's words got so little press. It was indeed a magnificent speech,


103 posted on 09/22/2005 6:17:28 PM PDT by montag813
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To: sinkspur

"Nobody cares about somebody's private life. Bill Richardson is a helluva lot more in touch with his voters and his state than many other governors."

They don't care if your a sitting President residing over a booming economy during peacetime like Clinton was in 1998-1999.


104 posted on 09/22/2005 6:18:28 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: GOPGuide
Again, Rove runs weak campaigns.

He just never loses.

You really are clueless.

105 posted on 09/22/2005 6:19:26 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: sarasmom
I don't care how many liberal RINOs think he has a chance, he does not have much support outside the MSM.

Every poll taken says he and Guiliani are the only Republicans who can beat Hillary.

He's got more support than you think.

106 posted on 09/22/2005 6:20:38 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: GOPGuide

"NO RUDY or MCCAIN"

I agree 100&!


107 posted on 09/22/2005 6:20:43 PM PDT by HuntsvilleTxVeteran ("In any compromise between good and evil, it is only evil that can profit." AYN RAND)
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To: RWR8189

McCain is a loser. The Vietnamese screwed him up. Not his fault. He's a Dem nightmare though. He won't get the support of the party faithful, because he's not a team player. Mavericks can't win. I should know, I've been described as a maverick. Mavericks are often principled people, but by their nature devalue loyalty.

Maybe the Bushes rely too much on loyalty, but if you can't be loyal, what kind of administration would you have? Disloyal people will be coming out of the woodwork. Imaging a Wilson every month undermining his policies.


108 posted on 09/22/2005 6:21:51 PM PDT by playball0
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To: sinkspur

"He's known"

He's made too many enemies.

The cultural conservatives will attack him because of sabotaging the Nuke Option in the Senate and for snuggling up to the Dems and Media at every opportunity.

Big Business and it's allies like Chamber of commerce and the Club for Growth will attack him via the grassroots for not supporting tax cuts.

He has NO Chance.


109 posted on 09/22/2005 6:22:06 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: GOPGuide
There are at least 17 million illegal aliens in the US. 17 divided by 41 comes out to about 41 comes out to about 40%.

I asked for a source. I already know what your opinion is.

You don't have a source, do you?

There are more than 41 million Hispanics in the United States.

110 posted on 09/22/2005 6:22:16 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: Jake The Goose

I went to see him, then, too. He walked within a few feet and turned and waved. He looked lijke an albino with a phoney seg. I left early, after he let vets start bitching about their benefits.


111 posted on 09/22/2005 6:23:13 PM PDT by ClaireSolt (.)
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To: Recovering_Democrat

McLame is shifting to the right?? I don't believe it.


McInsane shifting to the right? He could only move to the right since he has not left any significant room on the left.

THe party knows he can't be trusted. He'll never get the nomination. Sorry,Mr.Barone.

Hillary may get the Dem nomination, because of the blackmail FBI file thing and her money. Her negatives are so high she will insure a Republican win, as long as the Rep pick is reasonable, say Allen/Brownback.

JMNSHO.


112 posted on 09/22/2005 6:23:38 PM PDT by HonestConservative (Bless our Servicemen!)
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To: GOPGuide
Big Business and it's allies like Chamber of commerce and the Club for Growth will attack him via the grassroots for not supporting tax cuts.

McCain voted for Bush's tax cuts. What the hell is the matter with you?

113 posted on 09/22/2005 6:23:53 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: sinkspur

Um, actually McCain voted against them.


114 posted on 09/22/2005 6:24:31 PM PDT by marajade (Yes, I'm a SW freak!)
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To: marajade

Source?


115 posted on 09/22/2005 6:25:17 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: sinkspur

Look I can find it on google or his record but since I live in AZ I specifically remember McCain voting against them.


116 posted on 09/22/2005 6:26:14 PM PDT by marajade (Yes, I'm a SW freak!)
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To: bmwcyle

I wouldn't vote for MC either.. NEVER, NOWAY, NOTTA.


117 posted on 09/22/2005 6:26:20 PM PDT by VastRWCon
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To: sinkspur

"McCain voted for Bush's tax cuts. What the hell is the matter with you?"

He helped scale down the size of the taxcuts, and is always railing against taxcuts for the "wealthy".


118 posted on 09/22/2005 6:26:42 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: sinkspur

http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=108&session=1&vote=00179


119 posted on 09/22/2005 6:27:08 PM PDT by marajade (Yes, I'm a SW freak!)
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To: RWR8189

If he is it will without my vote.


120 posted on 09/22/2005 6:27:51 PM PDT by sport
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