one of the forecasters who I think has a good handle on this noted this about the last model runs:
18z TPC models guidance and new euro in strong agreement.... and very consistent with 12z guidance and 6z...
this is as it should be as we get closer to the event..... models SHOULD move closer in agreement
but there is increasing data that suggests RITA is going to get trapped UNDER the Ridge and NOT leave.... stalled for 5 days over central or eastern TX / eastern and central OK .... with some palces seeing I would guess 12-16 inches of rain
_______
Now I hope he's wrong about that one.