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To: No Blue States

The top overall model for Katrina was indeed GUNA, which is an average of the UKMET, GFS, GFDL, and NOGAPS.

The top individual model overall was the UKMET, though many were close behind.

The top performer for Katrina for 5 day forecasts was NOGAPS. The top performer for Katrina for 3 day forecasts was the BAMD and UKMET. (All the previous data actually automatically calculated by some software I have.)

The closest model to Katrina's actual landfall from precisely 3 days before landfall was the GUNA Consensus.


The current GUNA consensus for Rita is a landfall at East Matgorda Bay, a few miles east of the actual town of Matagorda, right over the little town of Gulf.


1,489 posted on 09/21/2005 12:15:50 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist

A reporter in Galveston just told 540am here in Orlando that the original evacuees from New Orleans DO NO MIND BEING RELOCATED BECAUSE THEY KNOW ARE BEING TAKEN TO SAFETY this time. She also points out that TX evacuees are allowed to take their pets when they evacuate and this is crucial because pets are family members too and some in NO would not leave home without them.


1,508 posted on 09/21/2005 12:23:00 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: jpsb

ping

I thought this post by Strategerist might interest you.

"The current GUNA consensus for Rita is a landfall at East Matgorda Bay, a few miles east of the actual town of Matagorda, right over the little town of Gulf."


1,585 posted on 09/21/2005 12:44:11 PM PDT by No Blue States (Fort Worth)
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