Fortunately, by itself, the BAM is not entirely reliable for tropical systems. The other models appear to begin too far south for this storm center. As they are updated tonight, expect all the models to shift.
I'm near the Brownsville latitude line and just hope it hits in the ranch country and not Brownsville, Houston/Galveston, or N.O. I can't believe we've been talking like this since the second week of July.