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IMO we lost.

Labour+Green+Maori+Progressive = 61 seats, and with NZF and UF guaranteeing supply they'll be able to form a government. Then appoint someone from National as house speaker, which means they only vote to break ties (similar to US VP). That would leave the laft coalition with 61/121 votes, and not needing NZF or UF in government. Labour had already worked with the Greens and Progressive, it's just a matter of keeping 1 more special interest group happy.

On the right, National would work with ACT. If it meant getting into government they'd also work with the more cetnrist United Future, but New Zealand First has siad they won't form a coalition government with anyone, and the rest of the parties are anti-National (green is far left, National promised to abolish the racially based Maori seats and sets a limit on Treaty of Waitangi claims, Progressive is also far-left).

So overall, we lost on election night. Helen's back as PM. The only thing that could stop her is the special votes, but from what they were saying on the night they go more left than the non-specials.