It was tracking to where the eastern side of the storm would have been on the mouth of the Mississippi instead of over Gulfport / Biloxi. If that happened and at original CAT5 strength, we would be talking about 150,000 - 200,000 dead in NO it seems.
The western side of the eyewall was directly over New Orleans.
In terms of a 60 hour forecast, you'll never see a more accurate NHC forecast.
I'm just getting irritated with the constant sort of feeling around to try to blame any of this on the forecast.
There were no NHC forecast tracks after 11PM Friday night that would not have had the right front quadrant of the storm over Mississippi. None of those 11 forecast tracks had the center of the storm passing West of New Orleans.