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JORGENSON EXPLODES FAIRTAX MYTH (FR Exclusive)
self | August 25, 2005 | RobFromGa

Posted on 08/24/2005 9:40:44 PM PDT by RobFromGa

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To: Your Nightmare

I hope you enjoy it half as much when the FairTax become the tax law, my man.


321 posted on 08/25/2005 6:57:32 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: Always Right

Chicken Little has entered the building (along with Elvis).

Perhaps you could show us the wording in the bill that you claim allows the federal government (or state for that matter) to "suspect" you as a valid reason for audit.

Be sure to post it here.


322 posted on 08/25/2005 7:00:58 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: pigdog

Actually, lewis posted a plan to me once, but it "tragically" is just pie in the sky- no serious action or advocacy, of course.


323 posted on 08/25/2005 7:01:48 PM PDT by ovrtaxt (Fairtax.org)
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To: pigdog; RobFromGa
"do to my poor HTML, nicely formated chart not carried over"

Thank you for posting this. I hadn't had the time to put it together myself. Since it may not be obvious to everyone, lets look only at the tax at level 1.

Level 1 = $0.11
Level 2 = $0.11 + ($0.11 * .33) = $0.1463
Level 3 = $0.1463 + ($0.1463 * .33) = $0.1946
Level 4 = $0.1946 + ($0.1946 * .33) = $0.2588
Level 5 = $0.2588 + ($0.2588 * .33) = $0.3440

So, at the end consumer, that $0.11 Corp tax costs the consumer $0.3440 after each layer adds their percent of profit on top.

This is where the embedded taxes end up costing the consumers more than the total tax collected. It also does not even broach the subject of compliance costs or payroll tax which would also be cascaded at the same level.

Is there research that shows the typical number of levels in a manufactured product?
324 posted on 08/25/2005 7:14:51 PM PDT by Gvl_M3
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To: pigdog
" -- understand that you're being attacked by a bunch of the Status Quo Lovers ---
--- Several of them have shown themselves clearly to be liberals and they don't give a damn about most of the country greatly benefitting from the FairTax. -- "


Lovers of our present day status quo are not liberals or conservatives, they are statists.
They approve of our overwhelming local, state and federal government systems.
-- In one way or another, they are using the big brother system to get fat, and as you say, they just don't give a damn about liberty or a free republic.
325 posted on 08/25/2005 7:21:20 PM PDT by hypocrite
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To: Gvl_M3

Yep, that seems to be pretty much the mechanism.

The SQL crowd will not admit it (actually cannot as it destroys their position) so they'll now attack you personally.


326 posted on 08/25/2005 7:24:27 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: Gvl_M3
It also does not even broach the subject of compliance costs or payroll tax which would also be cascaded at the same level.

And even that is only the beginning.

Try and get your hands on a copy of James L. Payne's great book entitled Costly Returns - The Burdens of The U.S. Tax System

327 posted on 08/25/2005 7:27:45 PM PDT by Bigun (IRS sucks @getridof it.com)
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To: Bigun

"Try and get your hands on a copy of James L. Payne's great book entitled Costly Returns - The Burdens of The U.S. Tax System"

Thanks,

I just Ordered off of Amazon.com used books. $5.00 total.

I'm looking forward to reading it.


328 posted on 08/25/2005 7:43:07 PM PDT by Gvl_M3
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To: lewislynn

WRONG louey. I have stated in numerous threads and even TO YOU in a mannerly way that the only savings would be from 10 to 18%. Pigdog disagrees with that. Fine. We all agree that using a consumption tax is the BEST way for this country to go. You haven't shown any alternative so we have to assume your preference is the IRS as it is now. As a matter of fact, I haven't ever seen you state that you are against the current tax policy. Are you? If you ignore me I will assume you are an IRS agent who carries a loaded gun to point at my head to either get my money or send me to jail.


329 posted on 08/25/2005 7:49:52 PM PDT by groanup (shred for Ian)
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To: pigdog
What it really shows is that Dr. J. assumes the workers will get only their after income tax pay. There is obviously a difference of opinion as to the matter; that is not the same thing as a misrepresentation as the Squirrels like to claim. I haven't yet decided which approach is correct but that has no effect on the benefits of the FairTax to the economy overall.

The Boortz/Linder book clearly sells the plan as being one where all wage earners would realize an immediate gain in purchasing power. This is an impossible "free lunch" plan when it is described that way. Dr. Jongenson confirmed that he was NOT modelling a "free lunch" plan.

Perhaps the misrepresentation is inadvertent and caused by ignorance, I do not know. I do not allege malice. But now that they have been made aware of the error, they must take some action to correct the wrong explanations that they have given in their book.

As I have said many times, my interest in this is to discuss the FairTax plan honestly as it was intended to be implemented and then decide whether it is a good approach or not.

You, pigdog, appear to still cling to your dreams of the "free lunch". Face the facts, pigdog, without the worker payroll and income taxes reduced from a businesses costs, there is nothing else to get an immediate reduction of more than about ten percent-- tops. And it could be as low as 7-8% savings.

330 posted on 08/25/2005 7:53:16 PM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: RobFromGa
It could very well be much more than 10%. There is no reason why not. If you are a very wealthy individual and you are old, you may spend 100,000 dollars a year in life insurance premiums to preclude a 10 million dollare hit on your estate when you die.

There are millions of people in that situation. We don't really know. Imagine the life insurance industry: it is all predicated (as far as sales to big ticket clients) on the fact that the cash value build up is tax deferrred. And when you start taking money out it is a LOAN so the IRS doesn't tax it. So individuals must no longer pay those huge life insurance premiums to protect their estates.

331 posted on 08/25/2005 8:04:22 PM PDT by groanup (shred for Ian)
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To: groanup

groanup,

Pigdog's cascading chart is malarkey. I do not see where it is possible to achieve more than ten percent savings on domestic items. The bulk of this ten percent is by saving the employer FICA match, which as late as yesterday a number of Fairtaxers were saying was the property of the wage earner too.

I see 6-10%, you see 10-18% cost reductions. So, we are in agreement if the actual number is ten percent. At ten percent, my original bakery example in the BOORTZ/LINDER open letter stands, and the $1.00 loaf drops to $0.90 and then the 30% tax makes the price of bread $1.17.

This will not ever pass because every dollar already accumulated would have its purchasing power destroyed by about 17%. So, the way Dr. Jorgenson understood it is the only viable alternative to discuss: people will receive on average their current take-home pay, and the business will "see" a reduction of perhaps 23% in costs allowing the bread price to drop to $0.77, which will still be $1.00 when the 30% tax is added.

In this manner, everyone is approximately the same as they are now. This is the way I always understood the FairTax and that is why I took offense when Boortz and Linder printed a book with a fairytale scenario.

I am not sure that a consuption tax is the best way to go when it is in the range of 30%, but at least we can debate it. For the record, I think evasion will be the biggest issue to overcome in collecting a 30% tax, especially on services which are often performed person-to-person.



332 posted on 08/25/2005 8:05:50 PM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: groanup
It could very well be much more than 10%. There is no reason why not.

The missing chunk of money you are trying to find has been identified-- it is the payroll and income taxes. You should not expect to find 18% in addition to income and payroll taxes because they are probably about 15% of overall costs right there so all you need are 8% more and you are at the needed 23% savings that the FairTaxers have been estimating are embedded in the cost of goods.

The reason it is unlikely is that all of the money that the FairTax models plan to collect have been identified. The largest chunk by far is the income and payroll taxes. Now that we actually know that these were intended to be retained by the business in order to reduce prices, we know where the FairTax model expected the money to come from.

I am not one to believe that compliance costs will go down much for most companies since almost all the accounting needs to be done to run the business, and for public corps in order to meet SEC regulations.

There is hardly any corporate tax to be wrung out.

333 posted on 08/25/2005 8:14:16 PM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: groanup

Jsut to clarify mys response, when I said "This will not ever pass because every dollar already accumulated would have its purchasing power destroyed by about 17%", I am referring to a version of the Fairtax where it is somehow mandated that wage earners get to keep their entire pay check. THis would be inflationary and that is what I am saying sill not ever pass.


334 posted on 08/25/2005 8:17:34 PM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: Carry_Okie

the enforcement requirements in a nation that can't seem to stem the flow of illegal drugs scare me.

And the enforcement requirements of the current income/payroll tax system that can't seem to extract a penny of income or payroll tax from that illegal drug traffic doesn't?

At the least, under a ubiquitous retail sales tax, income from illegal trade or the underground economy expended on consumer products from legitimate retailers get fully taxed.

. California already exempts many goods from its sales tax and the machinations around what is "food," for example, and what isn't are amazing.

Realize the National Retail Sales Tax implemented under the FairTax legislation does not exempt products or services. Instead it provides a sales tax rebate mechanism paid to all legal residents equally to provide for payment of the sales tax on expenditures at the HHS poverty level defined for size of household. This avoids the necessity and problems of making such definitions and specific exceptions as you mention which obviously are the source of much manipulation and political wrangling in the state sales taxes.

What makes anybody here think that a sales tax will be any less subject to patronage, complex tweaks, byzantine accounting, and outright corruption when the difference is an automatic 25-35% advantage for your product (when state sales taxes are factored in) I don't know.

When you clean the slate it becomes more difficult to favor a specific group without raising the hackles of everyone else. Especially where everyone is treated precisely the same to begin with and there are no exceptions to the tax. Touching one point visibly affects everyone, making machinations much more dangerous for politicians to engage in.

 

Of course we have a perfect example in what doesn't work to control such machinations that you speak of in the current income/payroll tax system repealed under the implementation of the FairTax (H.R.25):

 

"As a matter of fact, what the income tax does — and this is the debate that I think we always try to get into in order to let you and him fight, see — and the people of this country are led down a path where the actual control of their resources, which in the end is the control over their will, is handed off to the government."

. . .

"The government then manipulates that will in order to destroy the freedom of our electoral system through the income tax structure, and we call the resulting slavery a free system."

"In point of fact, it is not as the founders understood, and the only way to restore real freedom is to give people back control over the income that they earn so that they won‘t, at the voting booth and in other phony issues, be subject to that manipulation."

- KEYES TRANSCRIPT (01/28/02)


335 posted on 08/25/2005 8:22:36 PM PDT by ancient_geezer (Don't reform it, Replace it!!)
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To: RobFromGa

Rob,

Lets take another look at your bakery.

Level 1 is the farmer who grows the grain
Level 2 is the mill
Level 3 is the warehouse
Level 4 is the shipping company
Level 5 is the baker who sell to a retail customer

Another example.

Level 1 is the steel mill
Level 2 is the steel warehouse
Level 3 is the manufacturer
Level 4 is the manufacturer's rep
Level 5 is the production plant
Level 6 is the assembly plant
Level 7 is the retail sale of product

If you don't see how the tax that is imposed on level 1 is compounded each time the next level adds their profit margin, then I don't know how to help you.

Does the manufacturer's rep back calculate how much tax was paid by the manufacturer before calculating his selling price? No, he just adds 10-30% profit on top of the cost to him by the manufacture, and I guarantee that the manufacture passes along the taxes that he paid.


336 posted on 08/25/2005 8:23:33 PM PDT by Gvl_M3
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To: Carry_Okie

At least I did something to design a system whereby much of that need will be eliminated.

Interesting, now where is it implemented and providing this reduction in government you speak of?

Or at the least what legislation in Congress is even proposing to use your brainchild?

What's your contribution?

At present advocacy and support of an actual implementation of a replacement tax system that breaks the income tax paradigm, introduced into both the House and Senate of the United States:

H.R.25,S.25
A bill to promote freedom, fairness, and economic opportunity by repealing the income tax and other taxes, abolishing the Internal Revenue Service, and enacting a national retail sales tax to be administered primarily by the States.


337 posted on 08/25/2005 8:31:11 PM PDT by ancient_geezer (Don't reform it, Replace it!!)
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To: Bigun
Try and get your hands on a copy of James L. Payne's great book entitled Costly Returns - The Burdens of The U.S. Tax System
Costly Returns! That book is a joke. The Arthur D. Little compliance study Payne based his conclusions on is from the early 80s and has be soundly discredited. The simplistic model ADL used to determine compliance time was flawed even when it was current.

I'd put Payne's "research" up there with Boortz's...well, maybe not that bad.
338 posted on 08/25/2005 8:31:52 PM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: Gvl_M3
If you don't see how the tax that is imposed on level 1 is compounded each time the next level adds their profit margin, then I don't know how to help you.

If the taxes aren't removed at each level, as the FairTax Plan is described by Boortz/Linder, they continue to be in the prices at each level and there is no savings to be gained. The only way to stop it is to take the taxes out of the cost by reducing the worker gross pay.

I would be perfectly happy for you to stop trying to "help me". I understand how pricing works.

339 posted on 08/25/2005 8:32:04 PM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: RobFromGa
I believe the employer's portion of FICA is 7.65%. I also believe that the employer's tax is 35% of net profit which is probably, on average, 3% of revenue. I also believe that companies such as HD and MSFT have tax departments that can be eliminated. I also believe that smaller businesses have the same deal in no more cost of CPA's. I also believe that companies like MSFT are spending millions on housing tax credits that will no longer apply. Those millions can go to productive investments instead of congressionally mandated dead ends that do nothing other than buy votes.

I also believe that people are spending millions of dollars on oil and gas investments simply because they have a tax liability: (http://www.petd.com/). These investments are nothing but tax avoidance. What could the 60 million of their last deal have done if it wasn't invested for tax reasons?

You have done us a service by finding out about the flaw in the FairTax book. What have you done to eradicate the tax code and fund the gov't fairly?

Rob, WTF are we doing here? This is a Republic. If we want the tax code changed, we change it; PERIOD!!! So what we are doing on Free Republic is what our congressmen SHOULD be doing, debating the merits. I'll tell you one thing about Boortz that is significant, he is right about us, we are perfectly happy to crucify all of the other congressmen that vote their own pork but are not willing to realize that we are VERY guilty of the very same thing. We keep electing our congresscritters because it is always THE OTHER congressman who screws up.

340 posted on 08/25/2005 8:44:35 PM PDT by groanup (shred for Ian)
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