Hamilton is 40 percent of the cd vote
Clermont her home is 28 percent of the vote that vote will bring her home by a nose
Warren is almost all in which is 13 percent of the vote
She was crushed in brown by 15 percent.
Scioto and pike counties are going to be hackett blowouts but they only account for 4 percent each.
Then you have adams county which accounts for 4 percent which should be like brown.
Schmidt will do well in 81 percent of the district winning hamilton by over 5 percent and warren county by 10 percent and winning clermont big by 15-20 percent.
But in the 19 percent of the rest of the district she could lose by 25 points.
Schmidt wins by about 1,500 votes prediction.
I have visions of a couple of "misplaced" ballot boxes showing up from Hackett territory at the last minute.
We've seen that act before.
isnt that a bit too close?