Impossible to say. I suspect that the media is once again engaging in wishful thinking.
While Hackett is a marine who served in Iraq he's also a pro-abort trial lawyer running in the most heavily GOP district (2 to 1) in Ohio.
Of course, with low turnout anything could happen.
In the low turnout primary, Jean Schmidt, in a ten(?) candidate field, polled better than all the Democrats in their primary, combined.
Hackett has a TV ad that shows him to be an ex-Marine who supports the war in Iraq, when the opposite is true. He also called Bush an SOB and a disgrace. Weirdo RAT!