Come on now...you are saying that it (abiogenesis) happened at one point in time, aren't you....that it DID happen?
Yes. But I am trying to communicate to you that any calculation done for the probability of abiogenesis has to take into account the number of concurrent repeated Bernoulli trials as well as the number of sequential trials. You don't seem to understand this. Is this why you pinged Alamo-Girl?
I am also saying that if we are not sure of the initial conditions and available chemical combinations, any such calculation is bound to be inaccurate.