Wrong on several accounts:
First, this pick, or the next one, isnot going to be 5th vote to overturn Roe v Wade.
Second, Roe v Wade will be nibbled to death, not reversed in a 180-degree turnaround.
Third, Clement was asked if she thought the constitution included a right to abortion. She pointedly dodged the question, and instead answered that the U.S. Supreme Court said it did, and that [AS A JUDGE ON AN INFERIOR COURT,] she would uphold the Supreme Court's decision.
Fourth, I've heard your political calculus before. I believe it to be wrong. The Catholic CHurch is filled of tens of millions of liberal voters who rationalize that the Democrats they vote for have no say on abortion. I don't hear a lot of pro-choice Republicans left anymore; the Clinton Republicans did NOT come back.
No, it could end on one ruling if five Scalia-like originalists are appointed. And, it should it that way.
Roe usurped power from the people and is one of many rulings to erode the democratic process. It's the ulimate example of judicial tyranny.