[Strategerist]

If the weakness in the ridge doesn't fill in, is it still possible to see it come in around Brownsville and gradually curve to the north then northeast, say an Austin, Dallas, Arkansas track?

There actually aren't any globals with the storm or its remnants getting north of the border at any point at the moment. Places like Dallas look like they won't get so much as a drop from this.

[nwctwx]

Yeah, no rain very far north with this one... the ridge is there, the only question is if there is enough softness in the S. TX region to allow it to come just north of the border. If this still does hit TX, it won't be much further north than Brownsville.