Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image
Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images
Cancun Radar Very Slow Load
Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)
Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband
Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure |
Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (weak) |
75 - 95 mph 65 - 82 kts 33 - 42 m/s |
> 28.94 in. Hg > 980.0 mb > 97.7 kPa |
4.0 - 5.0 ft. 1.2 - 1.5 m |
minimal damage to vegetation |
| 2 (moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts 43 - 49 m/s |
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg 965.1 - 979.7 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
6.0 - 8.0 ft. 1.8 - 2.4 m |
moderate damage to houses |
| 3 (strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 113 kts 50 - 58 m/s |
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg 945.1 - 964.8 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
9.0 - 12.0 ft. 2.7 - 3.7 m |
extensive damage to small buildings |
| 4 (very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 114 - 135 kts 59 - 69 m/s |
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg 920.1 - 944.8 mb 91.7 - 94.2 kPa |
13.0 - 18.0 ft. 3.9 - 5.5 m |
extreme structural damage |
| 5 (devastating) |
> 155 mph > 135 kts > 70 m/s |
< 27.17 in Hg < 920.1 mb < 91.7 kPa |
> 18.0 ft > 5.5 m |
catastrophic building failures possible |
Measuring and cuttng takes the most time. We screwed up here though. All my insurance thru one carrier and we were offered one monthly payment for all of it. We thought this included flood. Guess what.... This is the 1st time in probably 20 years we have been without it and guess what happens? Oh well. My son going to pick up some sandbags tomorrow. I don't know if those things are any good though.
We've left 3 windows uncovered for now. Plus with handholds cut into the wood it gives a bit of sunlight. Storm doors on the exterior doors let light in, too. The dark bedroom is great for sleeping, though. Tonight I was thinking I needed to pull the shades down for privacy. Duh...lol.
lol. We didn't cover the door windows. My husband threatened to seal me in though. The last time we had a "little" tropical storm I stood outside the door watching. It was facinating. I hadn't planned on telling him I was outside but I shared it with some people on FR and he just happened to pick that time to lurk. :'(
My husband doesn't nail them. He takes a 2x4 and wedges them in. The next house we build will have storm shutters built in!
Fortunately, our home site did not flood during Beulah, nor the 500 year flood we had in the early 90's. We're on high elevation compared to all around us. When we built our home, our lender required a flood potential evaluation and it was determined that we didn't need flood insurance. Our insurance company agreed.
We survived 17" of rain in about 9 hours with 9" coming in the first couple of hours or so. That was the 500 year flood in the early 90's. We had been in our new home 2 weeks when the flood hit.
Where was the 500 Year flood down there?
I think we will be ok too. Property around my neighhood floods and our street does sometimes but even though I'm in the port we are at higher elevation. Our water drains down to my poor neighbors.
Looks like the gal has a face too?
Our agent didn't think we needed it either. I think we are in a 100 year plain. Things happen though and it's not expensive.We used to live in a mobile home in Crosby Texas. The insurance company wasn't going to pay at 1st until witnesses told them the roof was raised up and that it was rain water and not rising that caused the water damage. Since then I have carried FI.
I think I recall that one then.
Well ,folks I'm calling it a night.
Have a good night, CD. See ya tomorrow.
Recon indicates it really hasn't; pressure still 955 mb as of 05Z.
Actually, new recon has 956mb..
That 141kt windspeed doesn't seem to fit though, don't know which to go with.
Hurricane Emily Intermediate Advisory Number 29a
Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on July 18, 2005
...Eyewall of extremely dangerous category four Hurricane Emily
pounding Cozumel...center about to make landfall on the Yucatan...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Yucatan Peninsula from
Chetumal northward to Cabo Catoche...then westward and southward to
Campeche...including Cozumel and the islas mujeres. A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect
life and property in the western portion of the warning area should
be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of Belize from
Belize City northward to the Belize-Mexico border.
Interests in the southern and western Gulf of Mexico should monitor
the progress of Emily. A Hurricane Watch will likely be required
for portions of the southern Texas coast and the northeast coast of
Mexico early Monday.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 2 am EDT...0600z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located
near latitude 20.3 north... longitude 87.3 west or about 25
miles... 40 km... west-southwest of Cozumel Mexico and about 170
miles... 275 km...east-southeast of Progreso Mexico.
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph
...30 km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue for
the next 24 hours. The center of Emily has passed just to the
southwest of Cozumel...and will be onshore within the next hour.
Emily is expected to emerge into the southern Gulf of Mexico later
today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...215 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Emily is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Some weakening will occur as Emily moves over northern
Yucatan this morning.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 150 miles...240 km.
An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum
central pressure of 955 mb...28.20 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 8 to 12 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall
in Mexico.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 8 inches are possible over portions of the
Yucatan Peninsula with isolated maximum amounts up to 12 inches.
Lesser amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible over western Cuba.
Repeating the 2 am EDT position...20.3 N... 87.3 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 955 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
Must have been an error in the recon when it first came out, the one I pasted to the wx-board said 956, just refreshed to 955. Emily has been running higher than normal on pressure her whole life.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.