New thread---the next update is due within the half hour
Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image
Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images
Cancun Radar Very Slow Load
Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)
Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband
Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure |
Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (weak) |
75 - 95 mph 65 - 82 kts 33 - 42 m/s |
> 28.94 in. Hg > 980.0 mb > 97.7 kPa |
4.0 - 5.0 ft. 1.2 - 1.5 m |
minimal damage to vegetation |
| 2 (moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts 43 - 49 m/s |
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg 965.1 - 979.7 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
6.0 - 8.0 ft. 1.8 - 2.4 m |
moderate damage to houses |
| 3 (strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 113 kts 50 - 58 m/s |
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg 945.1 - 964.8 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
9.0 - 12.0 ft. 2.7 - 3.7 m |
extensive damage to small buildings |
| 4 (very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 114 - 135 kts 59 - 69 m/s |
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg 920.1 - 944.8 mb 91.7 - 94.2 kPa |
13.0 - 18.0 ft. 3.9 - 5.5 m |
extreme structural damage |
| 5 (devastating) |
> 155 mph > 135 kts > 70 m/s |
< 27.17 in Hg < 920.1 mb < 91.7 kPa |
> 18.0 ft > 5.5 m |
catastrophic building failures possible |
Please do not post large graphics--Use links instead
New thread---the next update is due within the half hour
this isnt good for the Yucatan....
A number of FReepers have family members who are in the area now.
Checking in and ready to watch one pass Florida by.
Thanks for the ping.
Found a second Cancun radar site. Image is large, load is every bit as slow as the other site.
They were pretty slow last yr when Ivan was passing by as well... not sure if it's the server load, or a bad internet connection (I've never checked when a storm isnt nearby).
Nauti, Thanks again for the ping list and threads.
I'm with you on that. 3 last year was enough for me.
Looks better than it has all day, simply stunning vis shots right now.
...Core of extremely dangerous category four Emily passing south of western Jamaica...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Jamaica and for all of the Cayman Islands.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
At 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...the government of Mexico has extended the Hurricane Watch westward along the north coast of the Yucatan Peninsula to Progreso. A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for the eastern and northern coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula from Chetumal to Progresso...including Cozumel and the islas mujeres.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the warning area within the next 36 hours.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the coast of Belize from Belize City northward to the Belize-Mexico border. A tropical storm watch may be required for portions of western Cuba later this evening.
Interests elsewhere in the central and western Caribbean...and the southern Gulf of Mexico...should monitor the progress of Emily.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near latitude 16.8 north...longitude 78.8 west or about 130 miles... 210 km...south-southwest of Montego Bay Jamaica and about 235 miles... 375 km...southeast of Grand Cayman.
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph...30 km/hr... and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. This motion should bring the center of Emily south and southwest of western Jamaica this evening and near Grand Cayman island tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph...250 km/hr...with higher gusts. This makes Emily a strong category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are expected during the next 24 hours...and Emily could become a category five hurricane at times.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles...240 km. For Jamaica...hurricane force winds may occur in gusts in rainbands along the coasts...with possible sustained hurricane force winds at higher elevations...especially above 3000 feet.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 937 mb...27.67 inches.
Above normal tides...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...are possible along the south coasts of Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.
Emily may produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 8 inches over Jamaica with maximum amounts of 15 inches over mountainous terrain. Rainfall totals of 5 to 8 inches is possible over the Cayman Islands...with some 1 to 3 inch amounts possible over southeastern Cuba. Rains will be increasing over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula on Sunday with storm total amounts of 4 to 8 inches possible...and local maximum amounts up to 12 inches. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...16.8 N... 78.8 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...155 mph. Minimum central pressure... 937 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Beven
5pm keeps it a cat4 with 155 winds, gusts to 190.
And I'm surely willing to take a hit this time around for you guys. You've had enough bad news!
(Please Lord, not too big a hit though...:)
Thanks for the new thread, NN! Appreciate it.
Ping to CindyDawg...are you back home yet?
16 July: 20:32z
Hey NN,
Nice to not have to worry about this one.
For Texas Freepers that might not have been on the previous hurricane threads, these are my two favorite links to watch hurricanes.
Not so much data from them, as just awesome views of nature and perspective.
This one takes a while to load but is worth it:
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+48+-update+3600
This one is much quicker to load but not as detailed.
http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
"Emily will have no impact on western North Carolina weather."
I say: hallelujah!
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