Posted on 06/27/2005 3:28:20 PM PDT by sofaman
Magnitude 4.0 - local magnitude (ML) Time Monday, June 27, 2005 at 3:17:33 PM (PDT) Monday, June 27, 2005 at 22:17:33 (UTC)
Using GPS systems, satellite data, ground data, geologic history and computer models I think we will be able to reach a point where we can predict earthquakes with some certainty.
I'm very much in the camp (along with the USGS) that it will prove impossible.
I'm not trying to suggest we will be able to determine an exact location, magnitude and time for a specific earthquake, but rather general region and trend. We can do that fairly accurately today with the weather using computer models.
It will never be done to the degree where it will prove helpful at all to the general public, IMHO.
It's a far, far, far more difficult problem than weather prediction.
Actually, it's like weather prediction, but like attempting to predict a tornado 2 months in advance. And we know that will always be impossible.
Well, I live in Colorado so don't know that much about earthquakes. However, they have been clustered so you better be prepared.
Well I agree it will be a very long time if ever, where we can provide information good enough to prove helpful to the general public, but I still think we will be able to predict with far better accuracy than just an educated guess based on geologic history.
http://www.seismolab.caltech.edu/theoretical.html
4.0 is a non-event. Threshold of eventness is 5.0
A series around Ludlow tonight, 2.5 and +.
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