[xzins]

They correctly apply the numbers based on the field of probability and statistics.

Intuitively, a person knows that my car (a complex thing) didn't just accidentally happen.

My brain is far more complex than my car.

Life itself is far more complex than anything....so much so that they don't even have a description of what it is. If you don't think so, then find a corpse and ask a scientist to describe in detail what it is that left that used to be there.

[Dimensio]

They correctly apply the numbers based on the field of probability and statistics.

But where did they originally derive the numbers?

Intuitively, a person knows that my car (a complex thing) didn't just accidentally happen. My brain is far more complex than my car.

Your brain also came into existence through a process that is decidedly different than the process that brought about your car. Specifically, it came about because other things that have brains similar to yours are able to produce imperfect copies of themselves. You are one of the imperfect copies. Automobiles don't tend to make imperfect replicants of themselves, thus the analogy fails.

Life itself is far more complex than anything....so much so that they don't even have a description of what it is.

You are aware that there's not even a consensus on what constitutes life, aren't you?

If you don't think so, then find a corpse and ask a scientist to describe in detail what it is that left that used to be there.

What left? Action potentials within the brain stopped for one reason or another (the reason is typically lack of a chemical -- sodium or potassium -- to maintain their occurance) resulting in cellular death. Without the brain being alive, no signals were sent to maintain the other functions within the body, so they shut down and the cells there died also.

[Gumlegs]

They correctly apply the numbers based on the field of probability and statistics.

How do you correctly apply numbers to unknown conditions with an unknown number of variables occurring over an undetermined period of time and claim the result is anything other than nonsense?

Intuitively, a person knows that my car (a complex thing) didn't just accidentally happen.

My brain is far more complex than my car.

I will take your word for it -- it's only true of certain people.

But be that as it may, your example is nothing more than bait and switch.