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To: MadIvan
I predict a Labour win - with an 80 to 100 seat majority.

Could be spun as a win-win for the Tories, really. If Labour gets its majority pared down by almost half, that could be seen as anger at the left wing, but Tony Blair returning as PM could be a reward for a staunch Iraq War ally, regardless of what the European press thinks.

JMHO.

53 posted on 05/05/2005 8:42:18 AM PDT by TheBigB (Can we shave some fuzz off these woofers?)
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To: TheBigB

I've taken a look at some of the more marginal Labour seats, and it is entirely possible that a Lib Dem surge would allow the Conservatives to come up the middle in several races. With any luck, they can crack 200 seats tonight but we'll have to wait and see.


64 posted on 05/05/2005 8:51:59 AM PDT by GiveEmDubya
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To: TheBigB

Short of winning the election, what would be good for the Tories is a hung parliament, or a Labour majority of 60 seats or less.

That is because if the majority gets down to that level, it makes Blair vulnerable in votes in the House of Commons to the Socialist Campaign Group of far-left MPs and other leftists in his parliamentary party. He would not be able to get his "radical" (by Labour standards) agenda through, and he would be paralyzed. That would set the stage for a Conservative win in 2009/2010, possibly even a landslide if things got really bad for Labour.


66 posted on 05/05/2005 8:53:27 AM PDT by gary_b_UK
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To: TheBigB
I hope that it proves to be a message to the Tories - they are not going to win on opportunism alone. I am only enthusiastic about one politician who is standing at the moment:

Greg Hands, Conservative Candidate for Hammersmith & Fulham

If he wins tonight, there's a chance he could catapult to the leadership in fairly short order - I've met him, he's intelligent, articulate and is not afraid to take on the Socialists.

Regards, Ivan

80 posted on 05/05/2005 9:12:08 AM PDT by MadIvan (One blog to bring them all...and in the Darkness bind them: http://www.theringwraith.com/)
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