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To: TheBigB

Well my question was directed towards OneTory.

I doubt very much if Rush commented on Labour's Yorkshire seats.


398 posted on 05/05/2005 12:40:16 PM PDT by watsonfellow
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To: watsonfellow; section9

Just trying to be helpful. I believe section9 first mentioned it in post #102, and it's been discussed since then. I'll make it a point not to address you again.


402 posted on 05/05/2005 12:43:19 PM PDT by TheBigB (Can we shave some fuzz off these woofers?)
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To: watsonfellow; MadIvan; All
All the pre-election polls are predicting a big Labour win:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/vote2005/polltracker/html/default.stm

Note though how they all are converging on the same numbers from different directions! So much for scientific polls

As far as I have been able to find there are no Exit polls published as yet . The polling stations are still open.

However, Rush may have heard of this blog: http://eureferendum.blogspot.com

Richard (North) published this early this morning:

"Expect some big surprises

Although The Times online offers the headline: "Polls show landslide for Blair", reliable information indicates that the true picture may be very different to the extent that we may see some big surprises once the general election results come rolling in.

The Times is not the only one to give the game to Blair, suggesting a Labour majority of 100 to 130, but early returns from Conservative marginals indicate that the Tory vote is not only holding up but increasing, shares of 60 percent plus being widely reported.

As interesting, in some constituencies, the Labour vote shows signs of collapsing, in some cases slashed by half, down to below 20 percent. Lib-Dems are picking up some of the votes but the Tories are the major beneficiaries.

Even the smaller parties, such as UKIP, are doing well and in some cases, where strong support might be least expected, UKIP may retain deposits, having doubled its 2001 vote.

Thus, while polls are predicting a Blair victory, knowledgeable commentators are pointing to 1970 when the pundits confidently predicted a Wilson victory, only to find Heath standing at the door of No. 10 the next day.

The Times, however, does concede that tomorrow's result promises to be the most unpredictable since 1992, and that will certainly be the case, with many local results that defy national trends. Lib-dems could do particularly well in constituencies where they provide the strongest challenge but, overall, the Tories are set to make major gains.

There is an outside chance that, by Friday, we could be looking at a Conservative government – albeit with a wafer-thin majority. More realistically, we could be looking at the "dream scenario" where Labour's majority is cut to around 30, with the majority of votes cast in England going to the Conservatives.

Either way, bearing in mind that the Conservatives are the only major party to reject the EU constitution, and are prepared to fight for a "no" vote in the referendum, things are looking brighter than they have for a long time. "

Commentators on this letter asked what Mr North had been drinking. The response was: "Excellent wine, but only after hearing this news".

Ok, obvioulsy it is based on party polls, and observations by election workers. Sometimes they may be right - and sometimes they just try to improve the mood in their own party.

There is a new post on the Eureferendum blog now, saying that the turnout is slightly up which is opposite to what the pollsters exppect.....

422 posted on 05/05/2005 12:56:03 PM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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