"Never" is a word...I try not to use. My Pop used to say.."Never say "never", son".....Hehehe...he was right.
As far as how felons would vote if they could. Very few of them would bother to vote at all. Seriously.
I would guess you were correct, in that regard.
The ones who would take the time vote would fall into two categories; Activists and regular joes with a sense of civic duty. The activists (as activists are wont to do) would probably vote Democratic. The regular joes, the one who lived up to the conditions of their parole, who worked hard and walked the straight and narrow would vote Republican. Also take into account this. A lot of felons that would take the time to vote are white collar criminals. Most of the guys who commit these kinds of crime are pretty much fiscally conservative anyway.
You could be right...I dunno. My gut says that considering the numbers that I read..( and assuming they are accurate..) about demographics, race, social economics and such....I'd hazard a guess that a majority of felons would lean to voting Democrat. But like I said, it's my gut and a guess.
They way I see it, instead of a huge segment of new voters for the Democrats on this I see a very slight surge that is evenly split or maybe with a slight edge to our side.
You may have a clearer picture than I....I respect that. And I could be wrong, I admit that.
Best FRegards,