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To: 2AtHomeMom
In haste I did not include the references where I provided what mathematicians consider sufficient proof, and I admit initiating the argument independently because it's so strong. But trust that I did not ignore "fundamental flaws" that have sometimes been presented with the argument.

Your equation is a model for UNLIMITED population growth thus it is meaningless in this context. Here is an example: they young earth crowd asserts that humans have been around for only about 6,000 years. For your equation to yield a current population of 6 billion, g works out to about .003644. Using this value, your equation yields the following results...


n Year [AD] p Accepted Population (millions)
6000 2000 6,000,000,496
5900 1900 4,170,606,971 1600
5800 1800 2,898,993,511 1000
5700 1700 2,015,093,591 600
5600 1600 1,400,693,780 550
5500 1500 973,623,794 500
5400 1400 676,766,974 360
5300 1300 470,421,471 443
5200 1200 326,990,484 400
5100 1100 227,291,447 310
5000 1000 157,990,536 300
4900 900 109,819,396 226
4800 800 76,335,583 220
4700 700 53,060,948 207
4600 600 36,882,724 200
4500 500 25,637,222 195
4400 400 17,820,461 195
4300 300 12,387,022 220
4200 200 8,610,233
4100 100 5,984,982
4000 0 4,160,168
3500 -500 675,073
3000 -1000 109,545
2500 -1500 17,776
2000 -2000 2,884
1500 -2500 468
1000 -3000 76
500 -3500 12
0 -4000 2

As you can see, either your model is faulty or your model completely disproves the notion of a 6,000 year old human population.

According to your model, the total human population after 500 years would be 12 people. After 1000 years, 76 people. After 1500 years, 468 people.

Also notice how much your model differs from accepted population numbers in the last 500 years. Your model predicts a human population of 4 billion in 1900 while the accepted number is around 1.6 billion.

1,307 posted on 02/01/2005 2:38:10 PM PST by JeffAtlanta
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To: JeffAtlanta

I have been trying to figure out where 2 is at so after reading your post I clicked on #1251 to backtrack and it has been deleted. Was it that bad?


1,309 posted on 02/01/2005 2:59:45 PM PST by WildTurkey (When will CBS Retract and Apologize?)
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